Football · England National League · 31/10, 18:30

Prediction: Boston Utd vs Scunthorpe

Team pages: Boston Utd · Scunthorpe

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.98Total

Boston Utd1.97

Scunthorpe2.01

1X2

37% 24% 39%

Boston Utd Draw Scunthorpe

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Boston Utd 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDLDWLDLLL

Scunthorpe 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLWLLL

Head-to-head

Boston Utd 1–4–1 Scunthorpe (6 last)

Boston Utd1-3Scunthorpe
Scunthorpe3-6Boston Utd
Boston Utd1-1Scunthorpe
Scunthorpe0-0Boston Utd
Scunthorpe2-2Boston Utd
Boston Utd1-1Scunthorpe

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Boston Utd 1427 · Scunthorpe 1470

	Boston Utd	Draw	Scunthorpe
Our model	38%	22%	40%
Market	37%	25%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.98 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Scunthorpe (rating 1427 vs 1470).
High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Boston Utd	Scunthorpe
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.4	1.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.1	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 6.6	2.7 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.60

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.4%

Time*	1	X	2
00:44 +1’	2.50	3.60	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Boston Utd 1–4–1 Scunthorpe

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/10/26 England FA Cup Qualification	Boston Utd	1-3 HT 0-2	Scunthorpe
14/02/26 England National League	Scunthorpe	3-6 HT 2-4	Boston Utd
18/10/25 England National League	Boston Utd	1-1 HT 0-0	Scunthorpe
27/04/24 England National League North	Scunthorpe	0-0 HT 0-0	Boston Utd
06/01/24 England National League North	Scunthorpe	2-2 HT 2-1	Boston Utd
31/10/23 England National League North	Boston Utd	1-1 HT 0-0	Scunthorpe

Standings · England National League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	14	12	2	0	38	13	38
2	Harrogate Town	14	10	1	3	32	18	31
3	Southend	14	8	4	2	33	21	28
4	Worthing	14	8	3	3	29	19	27
5	Altrincham	14	9	0	5	22	20	27
6	Yeovil	14	7	4	3	33	17	25
7	AFC Fylde	14	7	2	5	24	22	23
8	Halifax	14	6	3	5	24	17	21
9	Barrow	13	6	3	4	22	16	21
10	AFC Hornchurch	14	7	0	7	16	21	21
11	Carlisle	14	5	5	4	25	21	20
12	Kidderminster	14	5	5	4	16	14	20
13	Woking	14	5	3	6	23	22	18
14	Aldershot	14	5	3	6	18	17	18
15	Eastleigh	14	5	3	6	18	22	18
16	Sutton Utd	14	5	3	6	15	21	18
17	Forest Green	12	4	3	5	19	22	15
18	Wealdstone	14	4	3	7	18	24	15
19	Hartlepool	14	5	0	9	14	20	15
20	Tamworth	13	4	2	7	21	30	14
21	Boston Utd	14	3	3	8	17	27	12
22	Scunthorpe	13	3	1	9	17	24	10
23	Solihull Moors	14	2	1	11	14	37	7
24	Gateshead	13	1	1	11	8	31	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Boston Utd	Scunthorpe
AFC Fylde	0-1 L	0-2 L
Woking	1-1 D	2-3 L
AFC Hornchurch	2-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Boston Utd (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Boston Utd

LDLDWLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Eastleigh England National League	2-2	2-4	5	3	L
10/10	Southend England National League	1-1	1-2	5	3	L
03/10	Yeovil England National League	0-4	0-6	7	5	L
29/09	Halifax England National League	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
26/09	AFC Fylde England National League	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
19/09	Forest Green England National League	1-1	3-1	6	4	W
15/09	Woking England National League	1-0	1-1	9	3	D
12/09	Wealdstone England National League	1-1	1-3	8	4	L
05/09	Tamworth England National League	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
31/08	AFC Hornchurch England National League	2-1	2-3	10	2	L

Scunthorpe

WLLWLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Woking England National League	0-2	2-3	9	5	L
10/10	AFC Fylde England National League	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
29/09	Barrow England National League	0-0	0-3	5	7	L
26/09	Hartlepool England National League	2-1	4-1	3	4	W
19/09	AFC Hornchurch England National League	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
16/09	Boreham Wood England National League	0-0	1-2	4	3	L
12/09	Sutton Utd England National League	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
05/09	Harrogate Town England National League	0-1	0-2	6	6	L
31/08	Carlisle England National League	1-3	2-4	5	4	L
28/08	Solihull Moors England National League	1-1	3-1	9	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Boston Utd vs Scunthorpe?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Scunthorpe win (39%). Probabilities: Boston Utd 37%, draw 24%, Scunthorpe 39%.

How many goals are expected in Boston Utd vs Scunthorpe?

The model expects 3.98 goals (Boston Utd 1.97 · Scunthorpe 2.01), with a 60% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Boston Utd vs Scunthorpe?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.