Football · England National League · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Boreham Wood vs Hartlepool

Team pages: Boreham Wood · Hartlepool

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.57Total

Boreham Wood2.5

Hartlepool1.07

1X2

68% 18% 14%

Boreham Wood Draw Hartlepool

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Boreham Wood 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWWWWW

Hartlepool 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLLLWW

Head-to-head

Boreham Wood 3–2–1 Hartlepool (6 last)

Boreham Wood3-0Hartlepool
Hartlepool0-0Boreham Wood
Hartlepool3-1Boreham Wood
Boreham Wood1-0Hartlepool
Boreham Wood2-2Hartlepool
Hartlepool1-2Boreham Wood

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Boreham Wood 1654 · Hartlepool 1423

	Boreham Wood	Draw	Hartlepool
Our model	68%	19%	14%
Market	68%	18%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Boreham Wood (rating 1654 vs 1423).
H2H favours Boreham Wood: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Boreham Wood	Hartlepool
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 0.8	1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.8	2.7 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	3.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.00

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.93

2 (+1.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
00:37 +6’	1.33	5.00	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Boreham Wood 3–2–1 Hartlepool

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 England National League	Boreham Wood	3-0 HT 0-0	Hartlepool
30/08/25 England National League	Hartlepool	0-0 HT 0-0	Boreham Wood
17/02/24 England National League	Hartlepool	3-1 HT 1-1	Boreham Wood
04/10/23 England National League	Boreham Wood	1-0 HT 0-0	Hartlepool
05/04/21 England National League	Boreham Wood	2-2 HT 2-1	Hartlepool
05/12/20 England National League	Hartlepool	1-2 HT 1-1	Boreham Wood

Standings · England National League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	14	12	2	0	38	13	38
2	Harrogate Town	14	10	1	3	32	18	31
3	Southend	14	8	4	2	33	21	28
4	Worthing	14	8	3	3	29	19	27
5	Altrincham	14	9	0	5	22	20	27
6	Yeovil	14	7	4	3	33	17	25
7	AFC Fylde	14	7	2	5	24	22	23
8	Halifax	14	6	3	5	24	17	21
9	Barrow	13	6	3	4	22	16	21
10	AFC Hornchurch	14	7	0	7	16	21	21
11	Carlisle	14	5	5	4	25	21	20
12	Kidderminster	14	5	5	4	16	14	20
13	Woking	14	5	3	6	23	22	18
14	Aldershot	14	5	3	6	18	17	18
15	Eastleigh	14	5	3	6	18	22	18
16	Sutton Utd	14	5	3	6	15	21	18
17	Forest Green	12	4	3	5	19	22	15
18	Wealdstone	14	4	3	7	18	24	15
19	Hartlepool	14	5	0	9	14	20	15
20	Tamworth	13	4	2	7	21	30	14
21	Boston Utd	14	3	3	8	17	27	12
22	Scunthorpe	13	3	1	9	17	24	10
23	Solihull Moors	14	2	1	11	14	37	7
24	Gateshead	13	1	1	11	8	31	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Boreham Wood	Hartlepool
Altrincham	3-1 W	1-2 L
Kidderminster	3-1 W	0-2 L
Harrogate Town	4-1 W	0-1 L
Scunthorpe	2-1 W	1-4 L
Worthing	3-2 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Boreham Wood (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Boreham Wood

WWDWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	AFC Fylde England National League	3-0	4-0	4	3	W
09/10	Sutton Utd England National League	0-0	2-0	6	2	W
03/10	Altrincham England National League	0-1	3-1	4	7	W
29/09	Kidderminster England National League	2-0	3-1	9	4	W
26/09	Solihull Moors England National League	1-0	3-0	9	2	W
19/09	Harrogate Town England National League	2-1	4-1	4	7	W
16/09	Scunthorpe England National League	0-0	2-1	10	3	W
12/09	Eastleigh England National League	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
05/09	Carlisle England National League	0-0	2-1	4	4	W
31/08	Worthing England National League	0-1	3-2	6	4	W

Hartlepool

LWLLLLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	AFC Hornchurch England National League	0-0	2-1	5	4	W
10/10	Forest Green England National League	1-0	4-2	5	5	W
03/10	Tamworth England National League	0-1	0-1	9	0	L
29/09	Harrogate Town England National League	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
26/09	Scunthorpe England National League	1-2	1-4	5	4	L
19/09	Worthing England National League	0-1	1-3	5	4	L
16/09	Altrincham England National League	1-1	1-2	1	5	L
11/09	Kidderminster England National League	0-1	0-2	3	5	L
05/09	Woking England National League	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
01/09	Halifax England National League	0-0	0-1	7	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Boreham Wood vs Hartlepool?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Boreham Wood win (68%). Probabilities: Boreham Wood 68%, draw 18%, Hartlepool 14%.

How many goals are expected in Boreham Wood vs Hartlepool?

The model expects 3.57 goals (Boreham Wood 2.5 · Hartlepool 1.07), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Boreham Wood vs Hartlepool?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.