Football · England National League · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: Yeovil vs Altrincham

Team pages: Yeovil · Altrincham

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.27Total

Yeovil1.91

Altrincham1.36

1X2

49% 24% 26%

Yeovil Draw Altrincham

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Yeovil 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Altrincham 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Yeovil 2–3–1 Altrincham (6 last)

Altrincham0-1Yeovil
Yeovil1-0Altrincham
Altrincham2-1Yeovil
Yeovil0-0Altrincham
Yeovil1-1Altrincham
Altrincham2-2Yeovil

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yeovil 1568 · Altrincham 1551

	Yeovil	Draw	Altrincham
Our model	50%	24%	26%
Market	49%	24%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Yeovil: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Yeovil	Altrincham
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.3	1.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	1.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 4.6	3.3 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.3	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.75

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Pinn 2.01 ★
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3% Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
00:28 +1’	1.85	3.75	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:19 +490’	2.01	3.52	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Yeovil 2–3–1 Altrincham

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 England National League	Altrincham	0-1 HT 0-0	Yeovil
27/09/25 England National League	Yeovil	1-0 HT 1-0	Altrincham
05/04/25 England National League	Altrincham	2-1 HT 1-1	Yeovil
14/09/24 England National League	Yeovil	0-0 HT 0-0	Altrincham
28/02/23 England National League	Yeovil	1-1 HT 0-1	Altrincham
20/08/22 England National League	Altrincham	2-2 HT 1-1	Yeovil

Standings · England National League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	13	11	2	0	34	13	35
2	Harrogate Town	13	9	1	3	29	17	28
3	Southend	13	8	3	2	31	19	27
4	Yeovil	13	7	4	2	32	15	25
5	Worthing	13	7	3	3	27	18	24
6	Altrincham	13	8	0	5	20	19	24
7	AFC Fylde	13	7	2	4	24	18	23
8	Barrow	13	6	3	4	22	16	21
9	AFC Hornchurch	13	7	0	6	15	19	21
10	Halifax	13	6	2	5	22	15	20
11	Kidderminster	13	5	5	3	15	12	20
12	Aldershot	13	5	3	5	18	16	18
13	Sutton Utd	13	5	3	5	14	18	18
14	Carlisle	13	4	5	4	23	20	17
15	Woking	13	4	3	6	20	20	15
16	Forest Green	12	4	3	5	19	22	15
17	Eastleigh	13	4	3	6	14	20	15
18	Tamworth	13	4	2	7	21	30	14
19	Wealdstone	13	3	3	7	17	24	12
20	Hartlepool	13	4	0	9	12	19	12
21	Boston Utd	13	3	3	7	15	23	12
22	Scunthorpe	12	3	1	8	15	21	10
23	Solihull Moors	13	2	1	10	13	35	7
24	Gateshead	13	1	1	11	8	31	4

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Yeovil	Altrincham
Aldershot	1-1 D	3-1 W
AFC Fylde	1-4 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Altrincham (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yeovil

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Wealdstone England National League	1-0	6-0	3	4	W
03/10	Boston Utd England National League	4-0	6-0	6	5	W
29/09	Worthing England National League	0-1	1-1	9	1	D
26/09	Kidderminster England National League	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
18/09	Solihull Moors England National League	1-0	4-1	7	4	W
15/09	Aldershot England National League	1-0	1-1	4	6	D
12/09	AFC Fylde England National League	0-2	1-4	3	4	L
05/09	Southend England National League	1-0	2-3	2	4	L
31/08	Tamworth England National League	1-1	3-2	4	1	W
28/08	Barrow England National League	0-0	2-1	3	4	W

Altrincham

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Aldershot England National League	1-0	3-1	6	5	W
03/10	Boreham Wood England National League	1-0	1-3	2	7	L
29/09	Gateshead England National League	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
26/09	AFC Hornchurch England National League	1-0	3-0	12	3	W
19/09	AFC Fylde England National League	2-1	2-1	2	7	W
16/09	Hartlepool England National League	1-1	2-1	8	5	W
12/09	Woking England National League	1-3	1-5	8	3	L
04/09	Eastleigh England National League	1-1	2-1	1	3	W
31/08	Forest Green England National League	0-0	2-1	5	4	W
28/08	Halifax England National League	2-0	2-1	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yeovil vs Altrincham?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Yeovil win (49%). Probabilities: Yeovil 49%, draw 24%, Altrincham 26%.

How many goals are expected in Yeovil vs Altrincham?

The model expects 3.27 goals (Yeovil 1.91 · Altrincham 1.36), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Yeovil vs Altrincham?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.