Football · England National League · 31/10, 13:30

Prediction: Forest Green vs Harrogate Town

Team pages: Forest Green · Harrogate Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.01Total

Forest Green1.42

Harrogate Town1.59

1X2

33% 26% 41%

Forest Green Draw Harrogate Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Forest Green 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Harrogate Town 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Forest Green 4–2 Harrogate Town (6 last)

Forest Green0-2Harrogate Town
Harrogate Town0-1Forest Green
Forest Green1-3Harrogate Town
Harrogate Town1-4Forest Green
Forest Green2-1Harrogate Town
Harrogate Town0-1Forest Green

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Forest Green 1474 · Harrogate Town 1585

	Forest Green	Draw	Harrogate Town
Our model	33%	26%	41%
Market	33%	26%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Harrogate Town (rating 1474 vs 1585).
H2H favours Forest Green: 4-0-2.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Forest Green	Harrogate Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.9	2.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	1.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6	2.9 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.2	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.60

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:29 +7’	2.75	3.60	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Forest Green 4–0–2 Harrogate Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/01/24 England League 2	Forest Green	0-2 HT 0-0	Harrogate Town
12/08/23 England League 2	Harrogate Town	0-1 HT 0-0	Forest Green
30/04/22 England League 2	Forest Green	1-3 HT 1-1	Harrogate Town
07/12/21 England League 2	Harrogate Town	1-4 HT 0-3	Forest Green
13/03/21 England League 2	Forest Green	2-1 HT 1-0	Harrogate Town
05/12/20 England League 2	Harrogate Town	0-1 HT 0-0	Forest Green

Standings · England National League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	14	12	2	0	38	13	38
2	Harrogate Town	14	10	1	3	32	18	31
3	Southend	14	8	4	2	33	21	28
4	Worthing	14	8	3	3	29	19	27
5	Altrincham	14	9	0	5	22	20	27
6	Yeovil	14	7	4	3	33	17	25
7	AFC Fylde	14	7	2	5	24	22	23
8	Halifax	14	6	3	5	24	17	21
9	Barrow	13	6	3	4	22	16	21
10	AFC Hornchurch	14	7	0	7	16	21	21
11	Carlisle	14	5	5	4	25	21	20
12	Kidderminster	14	5	5	4	16	14	20
13	Woking	14	5	3	6	23	22	18
14	Aldershot	14	5	3	6	18	17	18
15	Eastleigh	14	5	3	6	18	22	18
16	Sutton Utd	14	5	3	6	15	21	18
17	Forest Green	12	4	3	5	19	22	15
18	Wealdstone	14	4	3	7	18	24	15
19	Hartlepool	14	5	0	9	14	20	15
20	Tamworth	13	4	2	7	21	30	14
21	Boston Utd	14	3	3	8	17	27	12
22	Scunthorpe	13	3	1	9	17	24	10
23	Solihull Moors	14	2	1	11	14	37	7
24	Gateshead	13	1	1	11	8	31	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Forest Green	Harrogate Town
Hartlepool	2-4 L	1-0 W
Sutton Utd	3-3 D	3-1 W
Gateshead	4-0 W	2-1 W
AFC Hornchurch	1-0 W	3-0 W
AFC Fylde	0-2 L	1-2 L
Boreham Wood	0-3 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Harrogate Town (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Forest Green

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Hartlepool England National League	0-1	2-4	9	5	L
29/09	Wealdstone England National League	1-1	1-1	6	2	D
26/09	Sutton Utd England National League	1-0	3-3	1	7	D
19/09	Boston Utd England National League	1-1	1-3	9	4	L
15/09	Carlisle England National League	1-1	1-1	9	6	D
12/09	Gateshead England National League	1-0	4-0	5	6	W
05/09	AFC Hornchurch England National League	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
31/08	Altrincham England National League	0-0	1-2	10	4	L
28/08	AFC Fylde England National League	0-0	0-2	6	4	L
22/08	Boreham Wood England National League	0-2	0-3	2	4	L

Harrogate Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Sutton Utd England National League	3-0	3-1	8	2	W
10/10	Woking England National League	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
03/10	AFC Hornchurch England National League	1-0	3-0	9	1	W
29/09	Hartlepool England National League	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
26/09	Eastleigh England National League	2-1	4-1	4	2	W
19/09	Boreham Wood England National League	1-2	1-4	1	7	L
15/09	AFC Fylde England National League	0-0	1-2	6	3	L
12/09	Tamworth England National League	2-1	3-1	10	7	W
05/09	Scunthorpe England National League	1-0	2-0	1	6	W
31/08	Gateshead England National League	0-0	2-1	6	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Forest Green vs Harrogate Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Harrogate Town win (41%). Probabilities: Forest Green 33%, draw 26%, Harrogate Town 41%.

How many goals are expected in Forest Green vs Harrogate Town?

The model expects 3.01 goals (Forest Green 1.42 · Harrogate Town 1.59), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Forest Green vs Harrogate Town?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.