Football · England National League · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: Yeovil vs Boreham Wood

Team pages: Yeovil · Boreham Wood

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.96Total

Yeovil1.46

Boreham Wood2.5

1X2

21% 20% 59%

Yeovil Draw Boreham Wood

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Yeovil 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Boreham Wood 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Yeovil 0–2–4 Boreham Wood (6 last)

Boreham Wood3-2Yeovil
Yeovil0-3Boreham Wood
Boreham Wood1-0Yeovil
Yeovil1-1Boreham Wood
Yeovil2-2Boreham Wood
Boreham Wood2-1Yeovil

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yeovil 1526 · Boreham Wood 1605

	Yeovil	Draw	Boreham Wood
Our model	21%	20%	59%
Market	20%	20%	59%

Estimated total (ours) 3.96 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Boreham Wood (rating 1526 vs 1605).
H2H favours Boreham Wood: 4-2-0.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Yeovil	Boreham Wood
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.2	2.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	1.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5.4	3.1 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.5	3.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

14.50

X4.50

21.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.90

2 (-1)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 4.51
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.55 → 1.55	Pinn 1.65 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9% Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
23:54 +38’	4.50	4.50	1.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:31 +422’	4.51	4.20	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Yeovil 0–2–4 Boreham Wood

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/02/26 England National League	Boreham Wood	3-2 HT 1-1	Yeovil
04/10/25 England National League	Yeovil	0-3 HT 0-2	Boreham Wood
29/04/23 England National League	Boreham Wood	1-0 HT 1-0	Yeovil
24/09/22 England National League	Yeovil	1-1 HT 1-1	Boreham Wood
07/05/22 England National League	Yeovil	2-2 HT 0-2	Boreham Wood
25/09/21 England National League	Boreham Wood	2-1 HT 1-1	Yeovil

Standings · England National League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	16	14	2	0	44	17	44
2	Harrogate Town	16	10	2	4	34	23	32
3	Southend	16	8	5	3	38	27	29
4	AFC Fylde	16	9	2	5	30	24	29
5	Yeovil	16	8	4	4	35	20	28
6	Worthing	16	8	4	4	32	25	28
7	Altrincham	16	9	1	6	24	24	28
8	Carlisle	16	7	5	4	32	23	26
9	Barrow	15	7	4	4	26	19	25
10	Halifax	16	7	3	6	28	20	24
11	Sutton Utd	16	7	3	6	20	21	24
12	Woking	16	6	3	7	25	24	21
13	Kidderminster	16	5	6	5	17	16	21
14	Aldershot	16	6	3	7	19	19	21
15	AFC Hornchurch	16	7	0	9	18	26	21
16	Forest Green	14	5	4	5	23	24	19
17	Eastleigh	16	5	4	7	19	25	19
18	Wealdstone	16	5	3	8	23	29	18
19	Boston Utd	16	5	3	8	21	29	18
20	Tamworth	15	5	2	8	25	32	17
21	Hartlepool	16	5	0	11	18	27	15
22	Solihull Moors	16	4	1	11	19	40	13
23	Scunthorpe	15	3	1	11	19	30	10
24	Gateshead	15	1	1	13	9	34	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Yeovil	Boreham Wood
Altrincham	1-2 L	3-1 W
Kidderminster	1-0 W	3-1 W
Solihull Moors	4-1 W	3-0 W
AFC Fylde	1-4 L	4-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Boreham Wood (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yeovil

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Halifax England National League	0-0	0-2	3	7	L
27/10	AFC Hornchurch England National League	0-0	2-1	8	4	W
24/10	Altrincham England National League	1-0	1-2	6	8	L
10/10	Wealdstone England National League	1-0	6-0	3	4	W
03/10	Boston Utd England National League	4-0	6-0	6	5	W
29/09	Worthing England National League	0-1	1-1	9	1	D
26/09	Kidderminster England National League	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
18/09	Solihull Moors England National League	1-0	4-1	7	4	W
15/09	Aldershot England National League	1-0	1-1	4	6	D
12/09	AFC Fylde England National League	0-2	1-4	3	4	L

Boreham Wood

DWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Hartlepool England National League	2-0	4-3	5	5	W
27/10	Woking England National League	1-1	2-1	9	2	W
24/10	AFC Fylde England National League	3-0	4-0	4	3	W
09/10	Sutton Utd England National League	0-0	2-0	6	2	W
03/10	Altrincham England National League	0-1	3-1	4	7	W
29/09	Kidderminster England National League	2-0	3-1	9	4	W
26/09	Solihull Moors England National League	1-0	3-0	9	2	W
19/09	Harrogate Town England National League	2-1	4-1	4	7	W
16/09	Scunthorpe England National League	0-0	2-1	10	3	W
12/09	Eastleigh England National League	0-0	1-1	2	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yeovil vs Boreham Wood?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Boreham Wood win (59%). Probabilities: Yeovil 21%, draw 20%, Boreham Wood 59%.

How many goals are expected in Yeovil vs Boreham Wood?

The model expects 3.96 goals (Yeovil 1.46 · Boreham Wood 2.5), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Yeovil vs Boreham Wood?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.