Football · England National League · 01/09, 20:45
Prediction: Halifax vs Hartlepool
Team pages: Halifax · Hartlepool
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.41Total
Halifax1.72
Hartlepool1.69
1X2
Halifax
Draw
Hartlepool
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Halifax
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Hartlepool
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Halifax
2–1–3
Hartlepool
(6 last)
- Hartlepool0-1Halifax
- Halifax0-1Hartlepool
- Halifax0-1Hartlepool
- Hartlepool0-0Halifax
- Hartlepool1-0Halifax
- Halifax2-1Hartlepool
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Halifax 1530 · Hartlepool 1502
| Halifax | Draw | Hartlepool | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 25% | 37% |
| Market | 37% | 27% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Hartlepool: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Halifax | Hartlepool | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.9 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.4 | 1.7 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Halifax 2–1–3 Hartlepool
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 England National League | Hartlepool | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Halifax |
| 08/11/25 England National League | Halifax | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Hartlepool |
| 29/03/25 England National League | Halifax | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Hartlepool |
| 07/09/24 England National League | Hartlepool | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Halifax |
| 29/03/24 England National League | Hartlepool | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Halifax |
| 24/10/23 England National League | Halifax | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Hartlepool |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sutton Utd | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Boreham Wood | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Southend | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | AFC Hornchurch | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Eastleigh | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Yeovil | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Harrogate Town | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 7 |
| 8 | AFC Fylde | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | Aldershot | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Kidderminster | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Boston Utd | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 11 | Hartlepool | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 13 | Worthing | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 14 | Forest Green | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
| 15 | Carlisle | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 5 |
| 16 | Scunthorpe | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | Tamworth | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 4 |
| 18 | Halifax | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
| 19 | Altrincham | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 19 | Gateshead | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 21 | Woking | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
| 22 | Wealdstone | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 23 | Barrow | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 24 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Halifax | Hartlepool |
|---|---|---|
| Boreham Wood | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Forest Green | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Southend | 2-6 L | 4-3 W |
| Scunthorpe | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Hartlepool (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Halifax
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Altrincham England National League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Tamworth England National League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Boreham Wood England National League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Forest Green England National League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Woking England National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 18/04 | Southend England National League |
1-3 | 2-6 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Yeovil England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 06/04 | Tamworth England National League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 03/04 | Altrincham England National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 28/03 | Scunthorpe England National League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
Hartlepool
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Eastleigh England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Sutton Utd England National League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Aldershot England National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Barrow England National League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Boston Utd England National League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/04 | Southend England National League |
1-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Forest Green England National League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Boreham Wood England National League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 06/04 | Rochdale England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 03/04 | Scunthorpe England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Halifax vs Hartlepool?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Halifax win (38%). Probabilities: Halifax 38%, draw 26%, Hartlepool 36%.
How many goals are expected in Halifax vs Hartlepool?
The model expects 3.41 goals (Halifax 1.72 · Hartlepool 1.69), with a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Halifax vs Hartlepool?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.