Football · England National League · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: Southend vs Halifax

Team pages: Southend · Halifax

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.81Total

Southend2.44

Halifax1.37

1X2

60% 21% 19%

Southend Draw Halifax

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Southend 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LDWDWWLDWW

Halifax 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWWDLDWW

Head-to-head

Southend 5–1–0 Halifax (6 last)

Halifax2-6Southend
Southend3-0Halifax
Southend3-1Halifax
Halifax0-2Southend
Southend3-0Halifax
Halifax1-1Southend

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Southend 1531 · Halifax 1552

	Southend	Draw	Halifax
Our model	60%	20%	20%
Market	60%	21%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.81 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Southend: 5-1-0.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Southend	Halifax
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.7	1.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.4	0.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6.2	1.9 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.53

X4.33

24.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.93

2 (+1)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Pinn 1.70 ★
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	4.80 → 4.80	Bet365 4.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1% Pinnacle margin 7.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:19 +10’	1.53	4.33	4.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:19 +490’	1.69	4.08	4.27
12:05 +57’	1.70▲	4.01▼	4.27

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Southend 5–1–0 Halifax

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 England National League	Halifax	2-6 HT 1-3	Southend
06/09/25 England National League	Southend	3-0 HT 1-0	Halifax
11/02/25 England National League	Southend	3-1 HT 0-0	Halifax
30/11/24 England National League	Halifax	0-2 HT 0-1	Southend
06/01/24 England National League	Southend	3-0 HT 1-0	Halifax
09/09/23 England National League	Halifax	1-1 HT 0-0	Southend

Standings · England National League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	13	11	2	0	34	13	35
2	Harrogate Town	13	9	1	3	29	17	28
3	Southend	13	8	3	2	31	19	27
4	Yeovil	13	7	4	2	32	15	25
5	Worthing	13	7	3	3	27	18	24
6	Altrincham	13	8	0	5	20	19	24
7	AFC Fylde	13	7	2	4	24	18	23
8	Barrow	13	6	3	4	22	16	21
9	AFC Hornchurch	13	7	0	6	15	19	21
10	Halifax	13	6	2	5	22	15	20
11	Kidderminster	13	5	5	3	15	12	20
12	Aldershot	13	5	3	5	18	16	18
13	Sutton Utd	13	5	3	5	14	18	18
14	Carlisle	13	4	5	4	23	20	17
15	Woking	13	4	3	6	20	20	15
16	Forest Green	12	4	3	5	19	22	15
17	Eastleigh	13	4	3	6	14	20	15
18	Tamworth	13	4	2	7	21	30	14
19	Wealdstone	13	3	3	7	17	24	12
20	Hartlepool	13	4	0	9	12	19	12
21	Boston Utd	13	3	3	7	15	23	12
22	Scunthorpe	12	3	1	8	15	21	10
23	Solihull Moors	13	2	1	10	13	35	7
24	Gateshead	13	1	1	11	8	31	4

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Southend	Halifax
Boston Utd	2-1 W	1-1 D
Gateshead	6-1 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Southend (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Southend

LDWDWWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Boston Utd England National League	1-1	2-1	4	3	W
03/10	AFC Fylde England National League	2-1	3-1	8	2	W
30/09	Eastleigh England National League	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
26/09	Barrow England National League	0-0	2-4	5	6	L
19/09	Gateshead England National League	6-0	6-1	3	2	W
15/09	Tamworth England National League	0-0	3-1	9	1	W
12/09	Carlisle England National League	0-1	2-2	4	5	D
05/09	Yeovil England National League	0-1	3-2	9	4	W
31/08	Woking England National League	1-0	1-1	8	3	D
28/08	Kidderminster England National League	1-0	1-3	7	4	L

Halifax

LWLWWDLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Gateshead England National League	0-1	4-1	4	1	W
03/10	Solihull Moors England National League	0-0	2-0	6	2	W
29/09	Boston Utd England National League	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
26/09	Worthing England National League	1-2	1-2	2	5	L
19/09	Sutton Utd England National League	0-0	1-1	1	5	D
15/09	Wealdstone England National League	0-0	1-0	0	2	W
12/09	AFC Hornchurch England National League	1-0	3-0	8	2	W
05/09	Aldershot England National League	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
01/09	Hartlepool England National League	0-0	1-0	8	6	W
28/08	Altrincham England National League	0-2	1-2	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Southend vs Halifax?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Southend win (60%). Probabilities: Southend 60%, draw 21%, Halifax 19%.

How many goals are expected in Southend vs Halifax?

The model expects 3.81 goals (Southend 2.44 · Halifax 1.37), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Southend vs Halifax?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.