Football · England National League · 27/10, 20:45
Prediction: Halifax vs Barrow
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
Halifax1.43
Barrow1.3
1X2
Halifax
Draw
Barrow
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Halifax
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Barrow
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Halifax
3–2–1
Barrow
(6 last)
- Barrow1-2Halifax
- Barrow0-0Halifax
- Barrow1-2Halifax
- Halifax2-0Barrow
- Halifax0-1Barrow
- Barrow0-0Halifax
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Halifax 1566 · Barrow 1572
| Halifax | Draw | Barrow | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 28% | 33% |
| Market | 40% | 26% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Halifax: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Halifax | Barrow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.8 | 1.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/80/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.2 | 3.1 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 6.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Halifax 3–2–1 Barrow
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/19 England National League | Barrow | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Halifax |
| 19/01/19 England National League | Barrow | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Halifax |
| 15/12/18 England FA Trophy | Barrow | 1-2 | Halifax |
| 07/08/18 England National League | Halifax | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Barrow |
| 02/12/17 England National League | Halifax | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Barrow |
| 08/08/17 England National League | Barrow | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Halifax |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 38 | 13 | 38 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Southend | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 21 | 28 |
| 4 | Worthing | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 27 |
| 5 | Altrincham | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 27 |
| 6 | Yeovil | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 33 | 17 | 25 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 23 |
| 8 | Halifax | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 21 |
| 9 | Barrow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 21 |
| 10 | AFC Hornchurch | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 21 |
| 11 | Carlisle | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 20 |
| 12 | Kidderminster | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 20 |
| 13 | Woking | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 18 |
| 14 | Aldershot | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 18 |
| 15 | Eastleigh | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 22 | 18 |
| 16 | Sutton Utd | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 18 |
| 17 | Forest Green | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 22 | 15 |
| 18 | Wealdstone | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 24 | 15 |
| 19 | Hartlepool | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 15 |
| 20 | Tamworth | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 30 | 14 |
| 21 | Boston Utd | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 27 | 12 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 24 | 10 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 31 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Halifax | Barrow |
|---|---|---|
| Southend | 2-2 D | 4-2 W |
| Solihull Moors | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Worthing | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Sutton Utd | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Wealdstone | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Aldershot | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Barrow (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Halifax
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Southend England National League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 10/10 | Gateshead England National League |
0-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 03/10 | Solihull Moors England National League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/09 | Boston Utd England National League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 26/09 | Worthing England National League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Sutton Utd England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 15/09 | Wealdstone England National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | AFC Hornchurch England National League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Aldershot England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 01/09 | Hartlepool England National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
Barrow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Tamworth England National League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 03/10 | Wealdstone England National League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 9 | W |
| 29/09 | Scunthorpe England National League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 26/09 | Southend England National League |
0-0 | 4-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Aldershot England National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 15/09 | Solihull Moors England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Worthing England National League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | Sutton Utd England National League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 31/08 | Kidderminster England National League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 28/08 | Yeovil England National League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Halifax vs Barrow?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Halifax win (39%). Probabilities: Halifax 39%, draw 27%, Barrow 34%.
How many goals are expected in Halifax vs Barrow?
The model expects 2.73 goals (Halifax 1.43 · Barrow 1.3), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Halifax vs Barrow?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.