Football · England National League · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: Kidderminster vs Halifax

Team pages: Kidderminster · Halifax

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.43Total

Kidderminster1.21

Halifax1.21

1X2

36% 28% 36%

Kidderminster Draw Halifax

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Kidderminster 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WWDLLDDLDL

Halifax 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLDWWDLW

Head-to-head

Kidderminster 1–1–4 Halifax (6 last)

Halifax1-1Kidderminster
Kidderminster0-2Halifax
Halifax2-1Kidderminster
Kidderminster2-0Halifax
Kidderminster1-2Halifax
Halifax2-0Kidderminster

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kidderminster 1499 · Halifax 1521

	Kidderminster	Draw	Halifax
Our model	35%	30%	35%
Market	37%	27%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Halifax: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kidderminster	Halifax
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 0.9	1.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.4	2.1 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.3	3.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.40

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Pinn 2.59
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.50 → 2.50	Pinn 2.69 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.4% Pinnacle margin 5.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:29 +4’	2.50	3.40	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:32 +421’	2.59	3.32	2.69

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kidderminster 1–1–4 Halifax

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 England FA Trophy	Halifax	1-1 HT 1-0	Kidderminster
06/04/24 England National League	Kidderminster	0-2 HT 0-0	Halifax
21/10/23 England National League	Halifax	2-1 HT 1-1	Kidderminster
05/12/21 England FA Cup	Kidderminster	2-0 HT 2-0	Halifax
01/04/17 England National League North	Kidderminster	1-2 HT 1-1	Halifax
12/11/16 England National League North	Halifax	2-0 HT 0-0	Kidderminster

Standings · England National League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	16	14	2	0	44	17	44
2	Harrogate Town	16	10	2	4	34	23	32
3	Southend	16	8	5	3	38	27	29
4	AFC Fylde	16	9	2	5	30	24	29
5	Yeovil	16	8	4	4	35	20	28
6	Worthing	16	8	4	4	32	25	28
7	Altrincham	16	9	1	6	24	24	28
8	Carlisle	16	7	5	4	32	23	26
9	Barrow	15	7	4	4	26	19	25
10	Halifax	16	7	3	6	28	20	24
11	Sutton Utd	16	7	3	6	20	21	24
12	Woking	16	6	3	7	25	24	21
13	Kidderminster	16	5	6	5	17	16	21
14	Aldershot	16	6	3	7	19	19	21
15	AFC Hornchurch	16	7	0	9	18	26	21
16	Forest Green	14	5	4	5	23	24	19
17	Eastleigh	16	5	4	7	19	25	19
18	Wealdstone	16	5	3	8	23	29	18
19	Boston Utd	16	5	3	8	21	29	18
20	Tamworth	15	5	2	8	25	32	17
21	Hartlepool	16	5	0	11	18	27	15
22	Solihull Moors	16	4	1	11	19	40	13
23	Scunthorpe	15	3	1	11	19	30	10
24	Gateshead	15	1	1	13	9	34	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kidderminster	Halifax
Solihull Moors	1-2 L	2-0 W
Worthing	1-2 L	1-2 L
Sutton Utd	1-1 D	1-1 D
Yeovil	0-1 L	2-0 W
Gateshead	1-0 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Halifax (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kidderminster

WWDLLDDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Solihull Moors England National League	1-2	1-2	3	4	L
27/10	Altrincham England National League	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
24/10	Worthing England National League	1-0	1-2	12	3	L
10/10	Carlisle England National League	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
03/10	Sutton Utd England National League	1-0	1-1	0	2	D
29/09	Boreham Wood England National League	0-2	1-3	0	4	L
26/09	Yeovil England National League	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
19/09	Woking England National League	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
16/09	Gateshead England National League	1-0	1-0	1	7	W
11/09	Hartlepool England National League	1-0	2-0	6	5	W

Halifax

WWDLDWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Yeovil England National League	0-0	2-0	9	7	W
27/10	Barrow England National League	1-0	2-3	4	5	L
24/10	Southend England National League	1-1	2-2	3	1	D
10/10	Gateshead England National League	0-1	4-1	4	1	W
03/10	Solihull Moors England National League	0-0	2-0	6	2	W
29/09	Boston Utd England National League	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
26/09	Worthing England National League	1-2	1-2	2	5	L
19/09	Sutton Utd England National League	0-0	1-1	1	5	D
15/09	Wealdstone England National League	0-0	1-0	0	2	W
12/09	AFC Hornchurch England National League	1-0	3-0	8	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kidderminster vs Halifax?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kidderminster win (36%). Probabilities: Kidderminster 36%, draw 28%, Halifax 36%.

How many goals are expected in Kidderminster vs Halifax?

The model expects 2.43 goals (Kidderminster 1.21 · Halifax 1.21), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Kidderminster vs Halifax?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.