Football · England National League · 28/08, 20:45
Prediction: Scunthorpe vs Solihull Moors
Team pages: Scunthorpe · Solihull Moors
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Scunthorpe1.87
Solihull Moors1.03
1X2
Scunthorpe
Draw
Solihull Moors
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Scunthorpe
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Solihull Moors
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Scunthorpe
0–1–5
Solihull Moors
(6 last)
- Scunthorpe3-3Solihull Moors
- Solihull Moors3-0Scunthorpe
- Scunthorpe0-2Solihull Moors
- Solihull Moors3-1Scunthorpe
- Scunthorpe3-4Solihull Moors
- Scunthorpe2-3Solihull Moors
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Scunthorpe 1497 · Solihull Moors 1454
| Scunthorpe | Draw | Solihull Moors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 25% | 20% |
| Market | 57% | 23% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Scunthorpe (rating 1497 vs 1454).
- H2H favours Solihull Moors: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Scunthorpe | Solihull Moors | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.6 | 2.6 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Scunthorpe 0–1–5 Solihull Moors
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 England National League | Scunthorpe | 3-3 HT 0-2 | Solihull Moors |
| 15/11/25 England National League | Solihull Moors | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Scunthorpe |
| 08/12/23 England FA Trophy | Scunthorpe | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Solihull Moors |
| 14/03/23 England National League | Solihull Moors | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Scunthorpe |
| 20/08/22 England National League | Scunthorpe | 3-4 HT 3-2 | Solihull Moors |
| 08/11/20 England FA Cup | Scunthorpe | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Solihull Moors |
Standings · England National League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southend | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Sutton Utd | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Harrogate Town | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Boreham Wood | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Hartlepool | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Boston Utd | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | AFC Hornchurch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Eastleigh | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Worthing | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Forest Green | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 11 | Yeovil | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 | Carlisle | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | AFC Fylde | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 14 | Aldershot | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 15 | Kidderminster | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 16 | Halifax | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 3 |
| 17 | Gateshead | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Woking | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| 19 | Scunthorpe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Barrow | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 20 | Wealdstone | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 22 | Tamworth | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
| 23 | Altrincham | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 | Solihull Moors | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Scunthorpe | Solihull Moors |
|---|---|---|
| Southend | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Yeovil | 1-1 D | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Scunthorpe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Eastleigh England National League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Southend England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Yeovil England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Rochdale England National League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 28/04 | Southend England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 25/04 | Eastleigh England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Wealdstone England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 11/04 | Brackley England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 06/04 | Gateshead England National League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 03/04 | Hartlepool England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | D |
Solihull Moors
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Southend England National League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | Boston Utd England National League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Harrogate Town England National League |
0-1 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Yeovil England National League |
4-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Boston Utd England National League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 14/04 | Woking England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | Southend England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 06/04 | Boreham Wood England National League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | Tamworth England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 28/03 | Altrincham England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Scunthorpe vs Solihull Moors?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Scunthorpe win (56%). Probabilities: Scunthorpe 56%, draw 24%, Solihull Moors 20%.
How many goals are expected in Scunthorpe vs Solihull Moors?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Scunthorpe 1.87 · Solihull Moors 1.03), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Scunthorpe vs Solihull Moors?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.