Football · England National League · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: Sutton Utd vs Solihull Moors

Team pages: Sutton Utd · Solihull Moors

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Sutton Utd1.73

Solihull Moors1.19

1X2

49% 26% 25%

Sutton Utd Draw Solihull Moors

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Sutton Utd 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWDDLDLLWW

Solihull Moors 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLWLLLWW

Head-to-head

Sutton Utd 2–3–1 Solihull Moors (6 last)

Solihull Moors4-1Sutton Utd
Sutton Utd0-0Solihull Moors
Solihull Moors1-1Sutton Utd
Sutton Utd1-0Solihull Moors
Solihull Moors0-0Sutton Utd
Sutton Utd4-1Solihull Moors

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sutton Utd 1494 · Solihull Moors 1496

	Sutton Utd	Draw	Solihull Moors
Our model	49%	26%	25%
Market	49%	25%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sutton Utd: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sutton Utd	Solihull Moors
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	1.3 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.8	1.1 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.60

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Pinn 1.94 ★
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.69
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.6% Pinnacle margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
00:26 +7’	1.85	3.60	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:32 +420’	1.94	3.69	3.59

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sutton Utd 2–3–1 Solihull Moors

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/12/25 England National League	Solihull Moors	4-1 HT 0-0	Sutton Utd
16/08/25 England National League	Sutton Utd	0-0 HT 0-0	Solihull Moors
04/03/25 England National League	Solihull Moors	1-1 HT 1-1	Sutton Utd
26/11/24 England National League	Sutton Utd	1-0 HT 1-0	Solihull Moors
05/04/21 England National League	Solihull Moors	0-0 HT 0-0	Sutton Utd
05/12/20 England National League	Sutton Utd	4-1 HT 2-0	Solihull Moors

Standings · England National League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	16	14	2	0	44	17	44
2	Harrogate Town	16	10	2	4	34	23	32
3	Southend	16	8	5	3	38	27	29
4	AFC Fylde	16	9	2	5	30	24	29
5	Yeovil	16	8	4	4	35	20	28
6	Worthing	16	8	4	4	32	25	28
7	Altrincham	16	9	1	6	24	24	28
8	Carlisle	16	7	5	4	32	23	26
9	Barrow	15	7	4	4	26	19	25
10	Halifax	16	7	3	6	28	20	24
11	Sutton Utd	16	7	3	6	20	21	24
12	Woking	16	6	3	7	25	24	21
13	Kidderminster	16	5	6	5	17	16	21
14	Aldershot	16	6	3	7	19	19	21
15	AFC Hornchurch	16	7	0	9	18	26	21
16	Forest Green	14	5	4	5	23	24	19
17	Eastleigh	16	5	4	7	19	25	19
18	Wealdstone	16	5	3	8	23	29	18
19	Boston Utd	16	5	3	8	21	29	18
20	Tamworth	15	5	2	8	25	32	17
21	Hartlepool	16	5	0	11	18	27	15
22	Solihull Moors	16	4	1	11	19	40	13
23	Scunthorpe	15	3	1	11	19	30	10
24	Gateshead	15	1	1	13	9	34	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sutton Utd	Solihull Moors
Worthing	3-0 W	0-5 L
Aldershot	2-0 W	1-2 L
Boreham Wood	0-2 L	0-3 L
Kidderminster	1-1 D	2-1 W
Halifax	1-1 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Sutton Utd (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sutton Utd

LWDDLDLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Worthing England National League	3-0	3-0	4	8	W
28/10	Aldershot England National League	2-0	2-0	2	2	W
24/10	Harrogate Town England National League	0-3	1-3	3	2	L
09/10	Boreham Wood England National League	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
03/10	Kidderminster England National League	0-1	1-1	5	2	D
30/09	Tamworth England National League	0-0	0-2	3	5	L
26/09	Forest Green England National League	0-1	3-3	7	7	D
19/09	Halifax England National League	0-0	1-1	8	5	D
15/09	Eastleigh England National League	2-0	2-1	7	7	W
12/09	Scunthorpe England National League	0-1	0-2	6	4	L

Solihull Moors

LWLLWLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Kidderminster England National League	2-1	2-1	3	4	W
27/10	Wealdstone England National League	2-0	3-2	1	2	W
24/10	Carlisle England National League	1-0	1-2	2	2	L
10/10	Worthing England National League	0-3	0-5	7	1	L
03/10	Halifax England National League	0-0	0-2	4	2	L
29/09	Woking England National League	3-2	4-2	1	6	W
26/09	Boreham Wood England National League	0-1	0-3	0	2	L
18/09	Yeovil England National League	0-1	1-4	1	4	L
15/09	Barrow England National League	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
12/09	Aldershot England National League	1-0	1-2	10	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sutton Utd vs Solihull Moors?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sutton Utd win (49%). Probabilities: Sutton Utd 49%, draw 26%, Solihull Moors 25%.

How many goals are expected in Sutton Utd vs Solihull Moors?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Sutton Utd 1.73 · Solihull Moors 1.19), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sutton Utd vs Solihull Moors?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.