Football · Nicaragua Apertura · 31/08, 03:00

Prediction: UNAN Managua vs Managua FC

Team pages: UNAN Managua · Managua FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.56Total

UNAN Managua0.98

Managua FC1.58

1X2

23% 26% 51%

UNAN Managua Draw Managua FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

UNAN Managua 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLLLDWDWWW

Managua FC 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWWDLWWWWW

Head-to-head

UNAN Managua 1–1–4 Managua FC (6 last)

Managua FC1-1UNAN Managua
Managua FC2-1UNAN Managua
UNAN Managua3-1Managua FC
UNAN Managua0-3Managua FC
Managua FC1-0UNAN Managua
UNAN Managua1-3Managua FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UNAN Managua 1538 · Managua FC 1606

	UNAN Managua	Draw	Managua FC
Our model	22%	28%	50%
Market	23%	25%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Managua FC (rating 1538 vs 1606).
H2H favours Managua FC: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UNAN Managua	Managua FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.2	2.5 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	1.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3	2.8 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.4	5.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.80

X3.60

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.80

2 (-0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
10:02 +12’	3.80	3.60	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · UNAN Managua 1–1–4 Managua FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Nicaragua Clausura	Managua FC	1-1 HT 1-1	UNAN Managua
19/03/26 Nicaragua Cup	Managua FC	2-1 HT 0-0	UNAN Managua
20/02/26 Nicaragua Clausura	UNAN Managua	3-1 HT 0-1	Managua FC
06/11/25 Nicaragua Apertura	UNAN Managua	0-3 HT 0-2	Managua FC
18/09/25 Nicaragua Apertura	Managua FC	1-0 HT 0-0	UNAN Managua
17/04/25 Nicaragua Clausura	UNAN Managua	1-3 HT 0-2	Managua FC

Standings · Nicaragua Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Managua FC	5	5	0	0	18	3	15
2	UNAN Managua	6	4	2	0	8	3	14
3	Diriangen	5	3	2	0	9	4	11
4	Real Esteli	5	3	1	1	8	4	10
5	HYH Export Sebaco FC	5	3	1	1	7	7	10
6	CD Walter Ferretti	6	2	0	4	9	11	6
7	Matagalpa FC	6	2	0	4	3	12	6
8	San Marcos FC	6	1	2	3	5	9	5
9	Jalapa	6	1	0	5	2	8	3
10	Rancho Santana FC	6	0	0	6	4	12	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UNAN Managua	Managua FC
CD Walter Ferretti	1-0 W	0-1 L
Jalapa	2-1 W	3-0 W
San Marcos FC	1-0 W	4-1 W
Diriangen	1-1 D	0-1 L
Rancho Santana FC	2-0 W	2-1 W
HYH Export Sebaco FC	1-3 L	6-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UNAN Managua

WLLLDWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/08	CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	1-0	2	8	W
17/08	Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	2-1	5	2	W
10/08	San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
01/08	Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	1-1	6	12	D
28/07	Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	2-0	1	5	W
18/07	Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	1-1	2	1	D
23/11	HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
06/11	Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-2	0-3	2	4	L
02/11	Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	1-2	6	9	L
27/10	Real Madriz FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	2-1	1	4	W

Managua FC

LWWDLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Apertura	5-0	6-1	1	4	W
10/08	Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Apertura	2-0	3-0	9	3	W
01/08	San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-1	4-1	6	4	W
26/07	Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura	2-0	3-0	7	8	W
19/07	Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-1	2-1	6	7	W
21/12	Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	0-1	4	12	L
23/11	Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
06/11	UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura	2-0	3-0	4	4	W
02/11	Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Apertura	2-0	3-0	4	2	W
27/10	CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	0-1	1	10	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UNAN Managua vs Managua FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Managua FC win (51%). Probabilities: UNAN Managua 23%, draw 26%, Managua FC 51%.

How many goals are expected in UNAN Managua vs Managua FC?

The model expects 2.56 goals (UNAN Managua 0.98 · Managua FC 1.58), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in UNAN Managua vs Managua FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.