Prediction: Barrow vs AFC Hornchurch

Team pages: Barrow · AFC Hornchurch

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Barrow1.81
AFC Hornchurch0.88
1X2
59% 23% 18%
Barrow Draw AFC Hornchurch
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Barrow 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LLLWWWDWWL
AFC Hornchurch 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
DWDWDDWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Barrow 1525 · AFC Hornchurch 1552
BarrowDrawAFC Hornchurch
Our model58%25%17%
Market60%21%19%
Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.9 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BarrowAFC Hornchurch
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.32 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.60.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 6.41.7 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.9 / 02.2 / 0

Standings · England National League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Harrogate Town 1100 523
2 AFC Hornchurch 1100 303
2 Sutton Utd 1100 303
4 Southend 1100 313
5 Hartlepool 1100 203
6 Forest Green 1100 323
6 Worthing 1100 323
8 Eastleigh 1100 213
9 Aldershot 1100 103
10 Boreham Wood 1010 331
10 Tamworth 1010 331
12 AFC Fylde 1010 221
12 Wealdstone 1010 221
14 Scunthorpe 1010 111
14 Yeovil 1010 111
16 Carlisle 1001 230
16 Halifax 1001 230
18 Gateshead 1001 120
19 Boston Utd 1001 010
20 Altrincham 1001 130
21 Barrow 1001 020
22 Solihull Moors 1001 250
23 Kidderminster 1001 030
23 Woking 1001 030

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Barrow

LLLWWWDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Hartlepool
England National League
0-1 0-2 53 L
01/08 Morecambe
UK Friendlies
0-0 1-0 92 W
25/07 Blackpool
UK Friendlies
1-0 2-0 52 W
21/07 Radcliffe FC
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 60 D
18/07 Mansfield
Club Friendly List
0-2 4-3 W
11/07 Workington
UK Friendlies
2-0 2-0 111 W
04/07 Holker
Club Friendly List
0-0 2-0 W
02/05 Newport County
England League 2
1-0 1-2 63 L
25/04 Cambridge Utd
England League 2
0-1 0-3 43 L
18/04 Walsall
England League 2
0-2 1-3 51 L

AFC Hornchurch

DWDWDDWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Kidderminster
England National League
3-0 3-0 44 W
28/07 Enfield Town
UK Friendlies
0-2 2-4 150 L
21/07 Leyton Orient
Club Friendly List
0-0 2-1 W
11/07 Redbridge
UK Friendlies
1-0 3-0 30 W
07/07 Dag & Red
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 41 D
09/05 Torquay
England National League South
1-1 2-2 42 D
02/05 Weston Super Mare
England National League South
0-0 2-0 22 W
25/04 Maidenhead Utd
England National League South
0-0 0-0 54 D
18/04 Chippenham Town
England National League South
0-0 3-1 21 W
14/04 Chelmsford
England National League South
1-2 3-3 26 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Barrow vs AFC Hornchurch?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Barrow win (59%). Probabilities: Barrow 59%, draw 23%, AFC Hornchurch 18%.

How many goals are expected in Barrow vs AFC Hornchurch?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Barrow 1.81 · AFC Hornchurch 0.88), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Barrow vs AFC Hornchurch?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.