Prediction: Worthing vs Forest Green

Team pages: Worthing · Forest Green

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.17Total
Worthing1.38
Forest Green1.79
1X2
28% 26% 46%
Worthing Draw Forest Green
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Worthing 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
WWLWDWDWWW
Forest Green 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWDWWDLWLW
Head-to-head
Worthing 1–1 Forest Green (2 last)
  • Worthing1-4Forest Green
  • Worthing4-1Forest Green
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Worthing 1574 · Forest Green 1528
WorthingDrawForest Green
Our model29%25%46%
Market28%26%46%
Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Worthing (rating 1574 vs 1528).
  • High corners: 11.5 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

WorthingForest Green
Goals for / against (FT)2.4 / 0.92.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.40.8 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 4.93.5 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 0.41.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Worthing 101 Forest Green

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/10/25
England FA Cup Qualification
Worthing1-4
HT 1-2
Forest Green
01/08/17
Club Friendly List
Worthing4-1
HT 1-1
Forest Green

Standings · England National League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Harrogate Town 1100 523
2 AFC Hornchurch 1100 303
2 Sutton Utd 1100 303
4 Southend 1100 313
5 Hartlepool 1100 203
6 Forest Green 1100 323
6 Worthing 1100 323
8 Eastleigh 1100 213
9 Aldershot 1100 103
10 Boreham Wood 1010 331
10 Tamworth 1010 331
12 AFC Fylde 1010 221
12 Wealdstone 1010 221
14 Scunthorpe 1010 111
14 Yeovil 1010 111
16 Carlisle 1001 230
16 Halifax 1001 230
18 Gateshead 1001 120
19 Boston Utd 1001 010
20 Altrincham 1001 130
21 Barrow 1001 020
22 Solihull Moors 1001 250
23 Kidderminster 1001 030
23 Woking 1001 030

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Worthing

WWLWDWDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Carlisle
England National League
0-1 3-2 02 W
01/08 Horsham
UK Friendlies
1-0 3-0 62 W
01/08 Horsham
Club Friendly List
1-0 3-0 W
24/07 Enfield Town
UK Friendlies
1-0 1-1 30 D
21/07 QPR U21
UK Friendlies
0-0 1-0 31 W
18/07 Frome Town
Club Friendly List
1-1 1-1 D
25/04 Ebbsfleet United
England National League South
1-0 2-0 32 W
18/04 Maidstone Utd
England National League South
1-1 1-2 105 L
11/04 Dag & Red
England National League South
2-1 7-2 115 W
06/04 Dorking Wanderers
England National League South
0-0 2-1 34 W

Forest Green

LWDWWDLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Halifax
England National League
0-1 3-2 83 W
01/08 Swindon
UK Friendlies
0-2 1-4 41 L
29/07 Bristol City
UK Friendlies
1-2 3-2 110 W
25/07 Cardiff
UK Friendlies
0-5 1-5 21 L
21/07 Bristol Rovers
UK Friendlies
2-0 2-2 92 D
18/07 Merthyr Town
UK Friendlies
2-1 2-1 51 W
07/07 Bishops Cleeve
UK Friendlies
1-1 3-1 70 W
29/04 Boreham Wood
England National League
0-0 0-0 94 D
25/04 Morecambe
England National League
2-0 5-0 60 W
18/04 Hartlepool
England National League
0-2 1-2 52 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Worthing vs Forest Green?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Forest Green win (46%). Probabilities: Worthing 28%, draw 26%, Forest Green 46%.

How many goals are expected in Worthing vs Forest Green?

The model expects 3.17 goals (Worthing 1.38 · Forest Green 1.79), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Worthing vs Forest Green?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.