Football · England National League · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Kidderminster vs Eastleigh
Team pages: Kidderminster · Eastleigh
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
Kidderminster1.62
Eastleigh1.08
1X2
Kidderminster
Draw
Eastleigh
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Kidderminster
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Eastleigh
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kidderminster
1–5
Eastleigh
(6 last)
- Kidderminster0-1Eastleigh
- Eastleigh2-1Kidderminster
- Kidderminster3-2Eastleigh
- Eastleigh3-1Kidderminster
- Eastleigh2-1Kidderminster
- Kidderminster1-3Eastleigh
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kidderminster 1592 · Eastleigh 1446
| Kidderminster | Draw | Eastleigh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 27% | 24% |
| Market | 50% | 24% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kidderminster (rating 1592 vs 1446).
- H2H favours Eastleigh: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kidderminster | Eastleigh | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 4.9 | 1.6 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0 | 1.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kidderminster 1–0–5 Eastleigh
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/24 England National League | Kidderminster | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Eastleigh |
| 23/09/23 England National League | Eastleigh | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Kidderminster |
| 09/02/16 England National League | Kidderminster | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Eastleigh |
| 19/12/15 England National League | Eastleigh | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Kidderminster |
| 25/04/15 England National League | Eastleigh | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Kidderminster |
| 10/03/15 England National League | Kidderminster | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Eastleigh |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harrogate Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | AFC Hornchurch | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Sutton Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Southend | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Hartlepool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Forest Green | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Worthing | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Eastleigh | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Aldershot | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Boreham Wood | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 10 | Tamworth | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 12 | AFC Fylde | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Wealdstone | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Scunthorpe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | Yeovil | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 | Carlisle | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Halifax | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Gateshead | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Boston Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 | Altrincham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 | Barrow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 | Solihull Moors | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 | Kidderminster | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 | Woking | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kidderminster
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | AFC Hornchurch England National League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Stourbridge Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/07 | Alvechurch UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 18/07 | Halesowen UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 14/07 | Droitwich SPA FC Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | South Shields England National League North |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Macclesfield England National League North |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | South Shields England National League North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 18/04 | Leamington England National League North |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 14/04 | Radcliffe FC England National League North |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
Eastleigh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Gateshead England National League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Farnham UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Crawley Town UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 22/07 | Valenciennes Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | Southampton UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Poole Town Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/07 | Horsham UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Scunthorpe England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Tamworth England National League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | Altrincham England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kidderminster vs Eastleigh?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kidderminster win (49%). Probabilities: Kidderminster 49%, draw 26%, Eastleigh 25%.
How many goals are expected in Kidderminster vs Eastleigh?
The model expects 2.71 goals (Kidderminster 1.62 · Eastleigh 1.08), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Kidderminster vs Eastleigh?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.