Football · England National League · 12/09, 16:00
Prediction: Eastleigh vs Boreham Wood
Team pages: Eastleigh · Boreham Wood
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
Eastleigh0.95
Boreham Wood1.91
1X2
Eastleigh
Draw
Boreham Wood
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Eastleigh
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Boreham Wood
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Eastleigh
2–3–1
Boreham Wood
(6 last)
- Eastleigh2-2Boreham Wood
- Boreham Wood2-0Eastleigh
- Boreham Wood4-4Eastleigh
- Eastleigh2-1Boreham Wood
- Eastleigh5-1Boreham Wood
- Boreham Wood0-0Eastleigh
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eastleigh 1463 · Boreham Wood 1619
| Eastleigh | Draw | Boreham Wood | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 24% | 59% |
| Market | 18% | 22% | 60% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.86 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Boreham Wood (rating 1463 vs 1619).
- H2H favours Eastleigh: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Eastleigh | Boreham Wood | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.1 | 3.8 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Eastleigh 2–3–1 Boreham Wood
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 England National League | Eastleigh | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Boreham Wood |
| 18/10/25 England National League | Boreham Wood | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Eastleigh |
| 24/01/24 England National League | Boreham Wood | 4-4 HT 0-2 | Eastleigh |
| 21/11/23 England National League | Eastleigh | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Boreham Wood |
| 04/11/23 England FA Cup | Eastleigh | 5-1 HT 3-1 | Boreham Wood |
| 25/03/23 England National League | Boreham Wood | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Eastleigh |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | Southend | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | AFC Hornchurch | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 12 |
| 5 | Sutton Utd | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 12 |
| 6 | AFC Fylde | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 11 |
| 7 | Yeovil | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 11 |
| 8 | Kidderminster | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Aldershot | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 10 | Eastleigh | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Hartlepool | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| 12 | Altrincham | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| 13 | Forest Green | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 9 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 8 |
| 15 | Boston Utd | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| 16 | Worthing | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 7 |
| 17 | Halifax | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 6 |
| 18 | Barrow | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 5 |
| 19 | Tamworth | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 5 |
| 20 | Wealdstone | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 5 |
| 21 | Scunthorpe | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 4 |
| 22 | Gateshead | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 23 | Woking | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
| 24 | Solihull Moors | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eastleigh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Altrincham England National League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 31/08 | Aldershot England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 28/08 | Hartlepool England National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Scunthorpe England National League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | Kidderminster England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Gateshead England National League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Scunthorpe England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Tamworth England National League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | Altrincham England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 06/04 | Yeovil England National League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
Boreham Wood
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Carlisle England National League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | Worthing England National League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 27/08 | Boston Utd England National League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Forest Green England National League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Halifax England National League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Tamworth England National League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 10/05 | Rochdale England National League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Carlisle England National League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 29/04 | Forest Green England National League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Sutton Utd England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eastleigh vs Boreham Wood?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Boreham Wood win (59%). Probabilities: Eastleigh 18%, draw 23%, Boreham Wood 59%.
How many goals are expected in Eastleigh vs Boreham Wood?
The model expects 2.86 goals (Eastleigh 0.95 · Boreham Wood 1.91), with a 57% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Eastleigh vs Boreham Wood?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.