Football · England National League · 15/09, 20:45
Prediction: Sutton Utd vs Eastleigh
Team pages: Sutton Utd · Eastleigh
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
Sutton Utd1.39
Eastleigh0.9
1X2
Sutton Utd
Draw
Eastleigh
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Sutton Utd
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Eastleigh
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sutton Utd
4–1–1
Eastleigh
(6 last)
- Eastleigh0-2Sutton Utd
- Sutton Utd2-1Eastleigh
- Sutton Utd1-0Eastleigh
- Eastleigh1-1Sutton Utd
- Eastleigh1-0Sutton Utd
- Sutton Utd3-0Eastleigh
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sutton Utd 1494 · Eastleigh 1467
| Sutton Utd | Draw | Eastleigh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 30% | 23% |
| Market | 49% | 25% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sutton Utd: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sutton Utd | Eastleigh | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.7 | 1.9 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sutton Utd 4–1–1 Eastleigh
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/03/26 England National League | Eastleigh | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Sutton Utd |
| 05/11/25 England National League | Sutton Utd | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Eastleigh |
| 25/01/25 England National League | Sutton Utd | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Eastleigh |
| 26/08/24 England National League | Eastleigh | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Sutton Utd |
| 24/04/21 England National League | Eastleigh | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sutton Utd |
| 23/01/21 England National League | Sutton Utd | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Eastleigh |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 9 | 17 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | AFC Fylde | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 10 | 14 |
| 4 | Kidderminster | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | Southend | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 14 |
| 6 | Aldershot | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Forest Green | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 12 |
| 8 | AFC Hornchurch | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| 9 | Sutton Utd | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Yeovil | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 11 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Carlisle | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 9 |
| 13 | Halifax | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 9 |
| 14 | Hartlepool | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 9 |
| 15 | Altrincham | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 9 |
| 16 | Worthing | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 8 |
| 17 | Wealdstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 8 |
| 18 | Scunthorpe | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 7 |
| 19 | Boston Utd | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Woking | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
| 21 | Barrow | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 6 |
| 22 | Tamworth | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 5 |
| 23 | Gateshead | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
| 24 | Solihull Moors | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sutton Utd | Eastleigh |
|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe | 0-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Gateshead | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Hartlepool | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Altrincham | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Boreham Wood | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Eastleigh (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sutton Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Scunthorpe England National League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Barrow England National League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 31/08 | Wealdstone England National League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 28/08 | Gateshead England National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Hartlepool England National League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Altrincham England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Woking England National League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Boreham Wood England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Altrincham England National League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Carlisle England National League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
Eastleigh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Boreham Wood England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 04/09 | Altrincham England National League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 31/08 | Aldershot England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 28/08 | Hartlepool England National League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Scunthorpe England National League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | Kidderminster England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Gateshead England National League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Scunthorpe England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Tamworth England National League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | Altrincham England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sutton Utd vs Eastleigh?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sutton Utd win (48%). Probabilities: Sutton Utd 48%, draw 27%, Eastleigh 24%.
How many goals are expected in Sutton Utd vs Eastleigh?
The model expects 2.29 goals (Sutton Utd 1.39 · Eastleigh 0.9), with a 59% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sutton Utd vs Eastleigh?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.