Football · England National League · 28/10, 20:45

Prediction: Forest Green vs Eastleigh

Team pages: Forest Green · Eastleigh

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.34Total

Forest Green2.09

Eastleigh1.25

1X2

56% 23% 21%

Forest Green Draw Eastleigh

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Forest Green 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWWDLDDL

Eastleigh 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLDLWLDLLW

Head-to-head

Forest Green 4–2–0 Eastleigh (6 last)

Eastleigh2-4Forest Green
Forest Green1-0Eastleigh
Forest Green2-1Eastleigh
Eastleigh1-3Forest Green
Eastleigh1-1Forest Green
Forest Green1-1Eastleigh

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Forest Green 1481 · Eastleigh 1459

	Forest Green	Draw	Eastleigh
Our model	56%	23%	21%
Market	55%	23%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Forest Green: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Forest Green	Eastleigh
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.9	1.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6	1.5 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.2	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.90

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 4.73 ★
2	4.33 → 4.33	Pinn 4.66

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.3% Pinnacle margin 7.4%

Time*	1	X	2
20:02 +3’	1.65	3.90	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:14 +171’	1.53	4.76	4.72
21:13 +74’	1.54▲	4.73▼	4.66▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Forest Green 4–2–0 Eastleigh

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 England National League	Eastleigh	2-4 HT 2-1	Forest Green
25/08/25 England National League	Forest Green	1-0 HT 0-0	Eastleigh
08/02/25 England National League	Forest Green	2-1 HT 0-0	Eastleigh
05/10/24 England National League	Eastleigh	1-3 HT 1-0	Forest Green
10/01/17 England National League	Eastleigh	1-1 HT 1-1	Forest Green
13/09/16 England National League	Forest Green	1-1 HT 0-0	Eastleigh

Standings · England National League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	14	12	2	0	38	13	38
2	Harrogate Town	14	10	1	3	32	18	31
3	Southend	14	8	4	2	33	21	28
4	Worthing	14	8	3	3	29	19	27
5	Altrincham	14	9	0	5	22	20	27
6	Yeovil	14	7	4	3	33	17	25
7	AFC Fylde	14	7	2	5	24	22	23
8	Halifax	14	6	3	5	24	17	21
9	Barrow	13	6	3	4	22	16	21
10	AFC Hornchurch	14	7	0	7	16	21	21
11	Carlisle	14	5	5	4	25	21	20
12	Kidderminster	14	5	5	4	16	14	20
13	Woking	14	5	3	6	23	22	18
14	Aldershot	14	5	3	6	18	17	18
15	Eastleigh	14	5	3	6	18	22	18
16	Sutton Utd	14	5	3	6	15	21	18
17	Forest Green	12	4	3	5	19	22	15
18	Wealdstone	14	4	3	7	18	24	15
19	Hartlepool	14	5	0	9	14	20	15
20	Tamworth	13	4	2	7	21	30	14
21	Boston Utd	14	3	3	8	17	27	12
22	Scunthorpe	13	3	1	9	17	24	10
23	Solihull Moors	14	2	1	11	14	37	7
24	Gateshead	13	1	1	11	8	31	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Forest Green	Eastleigh
Sutton Utd	3-3 D	1-2 L
Boston Utd	1-3 L	4-2 W
Carlisle	1-1 D	1-0 W
AFC Hornchurch	1-0 W	0-2 L
Altrincham	1-2 L	1-2 L
Boreham Wood	0-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Eastleigh (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Forest Green

LLLWWDLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Hartlepool England National League	0-1	2-4	9	5	L
29/09	Wealdstone England National League	1-1	1-1	6	2	D
26/09	Sutton Utd England National League	1-0	3-3	1	7	D
19/09	Boston Utd England National League	1-1	1-3	9	4	L
15/09	Carlisle England National League	1-1	1-1	9	6	D
12/09	Gateshead England National League	1-0	4-0	5	6	W
05/09	AFC Hornchurch England National League	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
31/08	Altrincham England National League	0-0	1-2	10	4	L
28/08	AFC Fylde England National League	0-0	0-2	6	4	L
22/08	Boreham Wood England National League	0-2	0-3	2	4	L

Eastleigh

DLDLWLDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Boston Utd England National League	2-2	4-2	3	3	W
10/10	AFC Hornchurch England National League	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
03/10	Woking England National League	1-1	1-3	3	6	L
30/09	Southend England National League	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
26/09	Harrogate Town England National League	1-2	1-4	3	2	L
19/09	Carlisle England National League	1-0	1-0	5	2	W
15/09	Sutton Utd England National League	0-2	1-2	1	7	L
12/09	Boreham Wood England National League	0-0	1-1	4	2	D
04/09	Altrincham England National League	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
31/08	Aldershot England National League	0-0	1-1	6	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Forest Green vs Eastleigh?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Forest Green win (56%). Probabilities: Forest Green 56%, draw 23%, Eastleigh 21%.

How many goals are expected in Forest Green vs Eastleigh?

The model expects 3.34 goals (Forest Green 2.09 · Eastleigh 1.25), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Forest Green vs Eastleigh?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.