Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 13/10, 13:30

Prediction: Bandirmaspor vs Sivasspor

Team pages: Bandirmaspor · Sivasspor

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.37Total

Bandirmaspor1.34

Sivasspor1.03

1X2

43% 29% 28%

Bandirmaspor Draw Sivasspor

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Bandirmaspor 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WWDDDLWDLW

Sivasspor 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LDLDLDWDDW

Head-to-head

Bandirmaspor 1–4 Sivasspor (5 last)

Bandirmaspor1-0Sivasspor
Sivasspor2-0Bandirmaspor
Bandirmaspor2-4Sivasspor
Sivasspor3-0Bandirmaspor
Bandirmaspor0-1Sivasspor

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bandirmaspor 1507 · Sivasspor 1510

	Bandirmaspor	Draw	Sivasspor
Our model	42%	30%	28%
Market	43%	28%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sivasspor: 4-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bandirmaspor	Sivasspor
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.5	1.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.4	2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.20

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.05▲	Pinn 2.15
X	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.38 ★
2	3.30 → 3.10▼	Pinn 3.27

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
05:29 +9’	2.00	3.20	3.30
17:32 +5’	2.05▲	3.20	3.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:06 +10’	2.08	3.37	3.44
10:59 +36’	2.09▲	3.34▼	3.44
14:50 +17’	2.16▲	3.35▲	3.27▼
16:10 +87’	2.15▼	3.38▲	3.27

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bandirmaspor 1–0–4 Sivasspor

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Türkiye 1 Lig	Bandirmaspor	1-0 HT 1-0	Sivasspor
27/12/25 Türkiye 1 Lig	Sivasspor	2-0 HT 0-0	Bandirmaspor
09/02/22 Türkiye Cup	Bandirmaspor	2-4 HT 1-2	Sivasspor
07/05/17 Türkiye 1 Lig	Sivasspor	3-0 HT 2-0	Bandirmaspor
17/12/16 Türkiye 1 Lig	Bandirmaspor	0-1 HT 0-1	Sivasspor

Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kayserispor	9	7	1	1	18	5	22
2	Bursaspor	8	6	1	1	16	7	19
3	76 Igdir Belediyespor	9	6	1	2	14	8	19
4	Keciorengucu	9	4	4	1	19	10	16
5	Batman Petrolspor	9	5	1	3	16	15	16
6	Antalyaspor	9	5	0	4	15	13	15
7	Sariyer	9	4	3	2	12	10	15
8	Bandirmaspor	9	3	4	2	14	5	13
9	Mardin 1969	8	3	3	2	9	5	12
10	Fatih Karagumruk	8	3	3	2	12	11	12
11	Sivasspor	9	2	5	2	13	12	11
12	Muglaspor	8	2	5	1	8	7	11
13	Pendikspor	9	2	4	3	11	17	10
14	Manisa BBSK	9	2	3	4	14	15	9
15	Bodrum FK	9	1	5	3	7	8	8
16	Esenler Erokspor	9	1	5	3	5	10	8
17	Umraniyespor	9	1	4	4	7	10	7
18	Istanbulspor	9	1	2	6	7	20	5
19	Vanspor FK	9	1	3	5	8	19	4
20	Boluspor	9	0	1	8	3	21	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bandirmaspor	Sivasspor
Antalyaspor	0-1 L	2-1 W
Pendikspor	1-1 D	4-1 W
Keciorengucu	1-1 D	1-1 D
Muglaspor	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sivasspor (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bandirmaspor

WWDDDLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Vanspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	2-0	4	5	W
18/09	Umraniyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
11/09	Sariyer Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	1-1	9	7	D
05/09	Boluspor Türkiye 1 Lig	5-0	6-0	6	3	W
01/09	Antalyaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	0-1	7	6	L
28/08	Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-1	1-1	3	5	D
23/08	Keciorengucu Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
16/08	Muglaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
08/08	Istanbulspor Türkiye 1 Lig	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
02/05	Sivasspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	1-0	5	3	W

Sivasspor

LDLDLDWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	4-1	5	5	W
19/09	Keciorengucu Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
13/09	Muglaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-1	1-1	5	2	D
06/09	Antalyaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-1	2-1	1	5	W
02/09	Mardin 1969 Türkiye 1 Lig	0-2	2-2	2	5	D
29/08	Batman Petrolspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	1-2	1	6	L
24/08	Manisa BBSK Türkiye 1 Lig	2-1	2-2	8	5	D
16/08	Kayserispor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
08/08	Esenler Erokspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
02/05	Bandirmaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	0-1	9	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bandirmaspor vs Sivasspor?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bandirmaspor win (43%). Probabilities: Bandirmaspor 43%, draw 29%, Sivasspor 28%.

How many goals are expected in Bandirmaspor vs Sivasspor?

The model expects 2.37 goals (Bandirmaspor 1.34 · Sivasspor 1.03), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Bandirmaspor vs Sivasspor?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.