Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 19/10, 16:00

Prediction: Manisa BBSK vs Muglaspor

Team pages: Manisa BBSK · Muglaspor

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
Manisa BBSK1.33
Muglaspor1.13
1X2
40% 29% 31%
Manisa BBSK Draw Muglaspor
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Manisa BBSK 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
WWDDLLDLLD
Muglaspor 2-6-2 (W-D-L)
LDDWWDDDDL
Head-to-head
Manisa BBSK 0–1 Muglaspor (1 last)
  • Manisa BBSK0-2Muglaspor
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Manisa BBSK 1472 · Muglaspor 1519
Manisa BBSKDrawMuglaspor
Our model40%30%30%
Market41%28%31%
Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Muglaspor (rating 1472 vs 1519).
  • Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Manisa BBSKMuglaspor
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.60.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.90.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 4.61.9 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.9 / 0.15 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Manisa BBSK 0–0–1 Muglaspor

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/10/25
Türkiye Cup
Manisa BBSK0-2
HT 0-1
Muglaspor

Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Kayserispor 10811 22525
2 Bursaspor 10712 20922
3 76 Igdir Belediyespor 10622 14820
4 Batman Petrolspor 10613 201719
5 Mardin 1969 10532 12618
6 Keciorengucu 10451 191017
7 Sariyer 10433 131415
8 Antalyaspor 10505 151715
9 Bandirmaspor 10352 15614
10 Fatih Karagumruk 10343 131313
11 Sivasspor 10262 141312
12 Muglaspor 10262 91112
13 Bodrum FK 10253 11911
14 Manisa BBSK 10244 151610
15 Pendikspor 10244 121910
16 Esenler Erokspor 10163 6119
17 Umraniyespor 9144 7107
18 Vanspor FK 10235 10207
19 Istanbulspor 10127 9245
20 Boluspor 9018 3211

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentManisa BBSKMuglaspor
Fatih Karagumruk 1-1 D 1-1 D
Bursaspor 1-2 L 0-3 L
76 Igdir Belediyespor 2-4 L 2-2 D
Bodrum FK 0-0 D 0-0 D
Sivasspor 2-2 D 1-1 D
Vanspor FK 4-1 W 2-2 D
Boluspor 2-1 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 2 L 1 W 5 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Manisa BBSK

WWDDLLDLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/10 Esenler Erokspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 1-1 56 D
10/10 Kayserispor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-1 2-3 48 L
20/09 Istanbulspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 0-1 96 L
13/09 Fatih Karagumruk
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-1 1-1 33 D
07/09 Bursaspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-1 1-2 46 L
03/09 76 Igdir Belediyespor
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-3 2-4 66 L
30/08 Bodrum FK
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 0-0 40 D
24/08 Sivasspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-2 2-2 25 D
15/08 Vanspor FK
Türkiye 1 Lig
3-0 4-1 –– W
07/08 Boluspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
2-1 2-1 –– W

Muglaspor

LDDWWDDDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/10 Bursaspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 0-3 24 L
11/10 Fatih Karagumruk
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-1 1-1 106 D
18/09 76 Igdir Belediyespor
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-1 2-2 66 D
13/09 Sivasspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-1 1-1 102 D
06/09 Vanspor FK
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-1 2-2 07 D
01/09 Umraniyespor
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-0 1-0 17 W
28/08 Boluspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-0 2-0 35 W
22/08 Bodrum FK
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 0-0 –– D
16/08 Bandirmaspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 0-0 –– D
09/08 Sariyer
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-1 0-2 –– L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Manisa BBSK vs Muglaspor?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Manisa BBSK win (40%). Probabilities: Manisa BBSK 40%, draw 29%, Muglaspor 31%.

How many goals are expected in Manisa BBSK vs Muglaspor?

The model expects 2.45 goals (Manisa BBSK 1.33 · Muglaspor 1.13), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Manisa BBSK vs Muglaspor?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.