Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 19/10, 19:00

Prediction: Bursaspor vs Pendikspor

Team pages: Bursaspor · Pendikspor

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.47Total
Bursaspor2.39
Pendikspor1.09
1X2
65% 21% 14%
Bursaspor Draw Pendikspor
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Bursaspor 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
WWLWWWDWLW
Pendikspor 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DLWDLWDDLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bursaspor 1606 · Pendikspor 1464
BursasporDrawPendikspor
Our model65%20%15%
Market64%22%14%
Estimated total (ours) 3.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bursaspor (rating 1606 vs 1464).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BursasporPendikspor
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 0.91.2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.70.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 5.42.6 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.6 / 0.13.1 / 0.4

Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Kayserispor 10811 22525
2 76 Igdir Belediyespor 10622 14820
3 Bursaspor 9612 17919
4 Batman Petrolspor 10613 201719
5 Keciorengucu 10451 191017
6 Mardin 1969 9432 11615
7 Sariyer 10433 131415
8 Antalyaspor 10505 151715
9 Bandirmaspor 10352 15614
10 Fatih Karagumruk 9342 131213
11 Sivasspor 10262 141312
12 Muglaspor 9261 9812
13 Bodrum FK 10253 11911
14 Pendikspor 10244 121910
15 Manisa BBSK 9234 14159
16 Esenler Erokspor 9153 5108
17 Umraniyespor 9144 7107
18 Vanspor FK 10235 10207
19 Istanbulspor 10127 9245
20 Boluspor 9018 3211

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBursasporPendikspor
Batman Petrolspor 2-1 W 2-2 D
Bodrum FK 2-0 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 0 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Bursaspor (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bursaspor

WWLWWWDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/10 Muglaspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 3-0 14 W
11/10 Mardin 1969
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-1 1-2 710 L
19/09 Batman Petrolspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-1 2-1 34 W
13/09 Esenler Erokspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
2-1 2-2 94 D
07/09 Manisa BBSK
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-1 2-1 56 W
03/09 Istanbulspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-0 4-0 87 W
29/08 Kayserispor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-1 2-1 55 W
21/08 Fatih Karagumruk
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-2 1-2 –– L
15/08 76 Igdir Belediyespor
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-0 1-0 –– W
09/08 Bodrum FK
Türkiye 1 Lig
2-0 2-0 –– W

Pendikspor

DLWDLWDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/10 Vanspor FK
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 1-2 24 L
09/10 Sivasspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-1 1-4 55 L
20/09 Bodrum FK
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 1-1 61 D
12/09 Boluspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-1 1-1 103 D
05/09 Umraniyespor
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-0 1-0 33 W
01/09 Sariyer
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-0 0-2 34 L
28/08 Bandirmaspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-1 1-1 55 D
22/08 Antalyaspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
2-0 3-2 –– W
16/08 Keciorengucu
Türkiye 1 Lig
1-2 1-4 –– L
10/08 Batman Petrolspor
Türkiye 1 Lig
0-1 2-2 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bursaspor vs Pendikspor?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bursaspor win (65%). Probabilities: Bursaspor 65%, draw 21%, Pendikspor 14%.

How many goals are expected in Bursaspor vs Pendikspor?

The model expects 3.47 goals (Bursaspor 2.39 · Pendikspor 1.09), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Bursaspor vs Pendikspor?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.