Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 26/10, 18:00

Prediction: Mardin 1969 vs Manisa BBSK

Team pages: Mardin 1969 · Manisa BBSK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

Mardin 19691.76

Manisa BBSK0.99

1X2

54% 26% 20%

Mardin 1969 Draw Manisa BBSK

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Mardin 1969 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Manisa BBSK 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

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Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mardin 1969 (rating 1527 vs 1467).
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mardin 1969	Manisa BBSK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1	1.6 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.2	0.8 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.5	2.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.3	4.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.81

Under 2.51.99

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 14:31

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.77 → 1.76▼	Pinn 1.76
X	3.72 → 3.64▼	Pinn 3.64
2	4.19 → 4.37▲	Pinn 4.37

See the full journey (4)

Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
20:44 +215’	1.77	3.72	4.19
03:44 +35’	1.74▼	3.66▼	4.47▲
08:10 +6’	1.75▲	3.65▼	4.43▼
14:12 +19’	1.76▲	3.64▼	4.37▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kayserispor	11	8	2	1	24	7	26
2	Bursaspor	11	8	1	2	22	9	25
3	76 Igdir Belediyespor	11	7	2	2	15	8	23
4	Keciorengucu	11	5	5	1	21	11	20
5	Batman Petrolspor	11	6	2	3	22	19	20
6	Mardin 1969	11	5	3	3	14	10	18
7	Antalyaspor	11	6	0	5	17	17	18
8	Sariyer	11	4	4	3	14	15	16
9	Muglaspor	11	3	6	2	13	14	15
10	Bandirmaspor	11	3	5	3	16	8	14
11	Bodrum FK	11	3	5	3	13	10	14
12	Sivasspor	11	2	7	2	15	14	13
13	Fatih Karagumruk	11	3	4	4	14	15	13
14	Esenler Erokspor	11	2	6	3	10	13	12
15	Umraniyespor	10	2	4	4	9	10	10
16	Manisa BBSK	11	2	4	5	18	20	10
17	Pendikspor	11	2	4	5	12	21	10
18	Vanspor FK	11	2	3	6	10	22	7
19	Istanbulspor	11	1	2	8	9	26	5
20	Boluspor	10	0	1	9	3	22	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mardin 1969	Manisa BBSK
Esenler Erokspor	2-4 L	1-1 D
Fatih Karagumruk	1-0 W	1-1 D
Bursaspor	2-1 W	1-2 L
Kayserispor	0-1 L	2-3 L
76 Igdir Belediyespor	0-1 L	2-4 L
Bodrum FK	1-0 W	0-0 D
Sivasspor	2-2 D	2-2 D
Vanspor FK	1-1 D	4-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 4 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Mardin 1969 (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mardin 1969

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Esenler Erokspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-2	2-4	4	5	L
15/10	Fatih Karagumruk Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
11/10	Bursaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	2-1	2	10	W
20/09	Kayserispor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
13/09	76 Igdir Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
07/09	Bodrum FK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
02/09	Sivasspor Türkiye 1 Lig	2-0	2-2	6	5	D
29/08	Vanspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-1	7	7	D
23/08	Boluspor Türkiye 1 Lig	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
16/08	Antalyaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Manisa BBSK

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Muglaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	2-3	3-4	3	6	L
15/10	Esenler Erokspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
10/10	Kayserispor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	2-3	4	8	L
20/09	Istanbulspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-1	9	6	L
13/09	Fatih Karagumruk Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
07/09	Bursaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-1	1-2	4	6	L
03/09	76 Igdir Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-3	2-4	6	6	L
30/08	Bodrum FK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-0	4	0	D
24/08	Sivasspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-2	2-2	2	5	D
15/08	Vanspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig	3-0	4-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mardin 1969 vs Manisa BBSK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mardin 1969 win (54%). Probabilities: Mardin 1969 54%, draw 26%, Manisa BBSK 20%.

How many goals are expected in Mardin 1969 vs Manisa BBSK?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Mardin 1969 1.76 · Manisa BBSK 0.99), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Mardin 1969 vs Manisa BBSK?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.