Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 24/10, 18:00

Prediction: Sariyer vs Fatih Karagumruk

Team pages: Sariyer · Fatih Karagumruk

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.56Total

Sariyer1.38

Fatih Karagumruk1.18

1X2

40% 29% 31%

Sariyer Draw Fatih Karagumruk

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Sariyer 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLWWLDWDLD

Fatih Karagumruk 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Sariyer 0–2 Fatih Karagumruk (2 last)

Fatih Karagumruk3-0Sariyer
Fatih Karagumruk2-0Sariyer

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Fatih Karagumruk: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sariyer	Fatih Karagumruk
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.5	1.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.3	1.7 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.3	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.94

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:19

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.49 → 2.49	Pinn 2.49
X	3.21 → 3.21	Pinn 3.21
2	2.76 → 2.76	Pinn 2.76

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:11 +7’	2.49	3.21	2.76

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sariyer 0–0–2 Fatih Karagumruk

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/12/24 Türkiye Cup	Fatih Karagumruk	3-0 HT 1-0	Sariyer
01/12/21 Türkiye Cup	Fatih Karagumruk	2-0 HT 1-0	Sariyer

Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kayserispor	11	8	2	1	24	7	26
2	76 Igdir Belediyespor	11	7	2	2	15	8	23
3	Bursaspor	10	7	1	2	20	9	22
4	Batman Petrolspor	11	6	2	3	22	19	20
5	Mardin 1969	10	5	3	2	12	6	18
6	Antalyaspor	11	6	0	5	17	17	18
7	Keciorengucu	10	4	5	1	19	10	17
8	Sariyer	11	4	4	3	14	15	16
9	Bandirmaspor	11	3	5	3	16	8	14
10	Bodrum FK	11	3	5	3	13	10	14
11	Sivasspor	11	2	7	2	15	14	13
12	Fatih Karagumruk	10	3	4	3	13	13	13
13	Muglaspor	10	2	6	2	9	11	12
14	Manisa BBSK	10	2	4	4	15	16	10
15	Umraniyespor	10	2	4	4	9	10	10
16	Pendikspor	10	2	4	4	12	19	10
17	Esenler Erokspor	10	1	6	3	6	11	9
18	Vanspor FK	11	2	3	6	10	22	7
19	Istanbulspor	11	1	2	8	9	26	5
20	Boluspor	10	0	1	9	3	22	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sariyer	Fatih Karagumruk
Umraniyespor	1-1 D	2-1 W
Batman Petrolspor	1-2 L	3-4 L
Esenler Erokspor	1-1 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Fatih Karagumruk (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sariyer

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Sivasspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-1	1-1	2	3	D
13/10	Bodrum FK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-3	1-4	7	3	L
09/10	Umraniyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	1-1	3	2	D
19/09	Boluspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
11/09	Bandirmaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	1-1	3	7	D
05/09	Keciorengucu Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
01/09	Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	2-0	1	4	W
28/08	Antalyaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	2-1	0	7	W
23/08	Batman Petrolspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
14/08	Esenler Erokspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-1	–	–	D

Fatih Karagumruk

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/10	Mardin 1969 Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
11/10	Muglaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-1	1-1	2	6	D
19/09	Esenler Erokspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	2-0	1	5	W
13/09	Manisa BBSK Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
06/09	Batman Petrolspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	3-4	8	4	L
02/09	Kayserispor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
29/08	Istanbulspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-1	1-1	7	4	D
21/08	Bursaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Umraniyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
09/08	76 Igdir Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sariyer vs Fatih Karagumruk?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sariyer win (40%). Probabilities: Sariyer 40%, draw 29%, Fatih Karagumruk 31%.

How many goals are expected in Sariyer vs Fatih Karagumruk?

The model expects 2.56 goals (Sariyer 1.38 · Fatih Karagumruk 1.18), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sariyer vs Fatih Karagumruk?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.