Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 25/10, 11:30

Prediction: Batman Petrolspor vs Esenler Erokspor

Team pages: Batman Petrolspor · Esenler Erokspor

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

Batman Petrolspor1.38

Esenler Erokspor1.57

1X2

33% 27% 41%

Batman Petrolspor Draw Esenler Erokspor

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Batman Petrolspor 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLLLWD

Esenler Erokspor 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DDLDLDLWDW

Head-to-head

Batman Petrolspor 1–3–0 Esenler Erokspor (4 last)

Esenler Erokspor2-2Batman Petrolspor
Batman Petrolspor1-1Esenler Erokspor
Batman Petrolspor0-0Esenler Erokspor
Esenler Erokspor0-1Batman Petrolspor

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Batman Petrolspor 1531 · Esenler Erokspor 1488

	Batman Petrolspor	Draw	Esenler Erokspor
Our model	33%	27%	41%
Market	32%	27%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Batman Petrolspor (rating 1531 vs 1488).
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Batman Petrolspor	Esenler Erokspor
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.7	1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/0/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5	2.9 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	5.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.30

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.75

2 (-0.25)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.75▲	Pinn 2.90
X	3.40 → 3.30▼	Pinn 3.33
2	2.25 → 2.20▼	Pinn 2.37 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
11:10 +8’	2.63	3.40	2.25
22:59 +15’	2.75▲	3.30▼	2.20▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:15 +13’	2.62	3.30	2.56
20:16 +11’	2.90▲	3.33▲	2.37▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Batman Petrolspor 1–3–0 Esenler Erokspor

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/03/23 Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz	Esenler Erokspor	2-2 HT 1-1	Batman Petrolspor
09/10/22 Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz	Batman Petrolspor	1-1 HT 1-0	Esenler Erokspor
11/02/21 Türkiye 3.Lig Group 3	Batman Petrolspor	0-0 HT 0-0	Esenler Erokspor
04/10/20 Türkiye 3.Lig Group 3	Esenler Erokspor	0-1 HT 0-0	Batman Petrolspor

Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kayserispor	11	8	2	1	24	7	26
2	Bursaspor	11	8	1	2	22	9	25
3	76 Igdir Belediyespor	11	7	2	2	15	8	23
4	Keciorengucu	11	5	5	1	21	11	20
5	Batman Petrolspor	11	6	2	3	22	19	20
6	Mardin 1969	11	5	3	3	14	10	18
7	Antalyaspor	11	6	0	5	17	17	18
8	Sariyer	11	4	4	3	14	15	16
9	Muglaspor	11	3	6	2	13	14	15
10	Bandirmaspor	11	3	5	3	16	8	14
11	Bodrum FK	11	3	5	3	13	10	14
12	Sivasspor	11	2	7	2	15	14	13
13	Fatih Karagumruk	11	3	4	4	14	15	13
14	Esenler Erokspor	11	2	6	3	10	13	12
15	Umraniyespor	10	2	4	4	9	10	10
16	Manisa BBSK	11	2	4	5	18	20	10
17	Pendikspor	11	2	4	5	12	21	10
18	Vanspor FK	11	2	3	6	10	22	7
19	Istanbulspor	11	1	2	8	9	26	5
20	Boluspor	10	0	1	9	3	22	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Batman Petrolspor	Esenler Erokspor
Kayserispor	2-2 D	0-3 L
Istanbulspor	4-2 W	1-0 W
76 Igdir Belediyespor	1-2 L	0-1 L
Bursaspor	1-2 L	2-2 D
Bodrum FK	0-4 L	0-0 D
Fatih Karagumruk	4-3 W	0-2 L
Sariyer	2-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Batman Petrolspor (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Batman Petrolspor

WWWWWLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Kayserispor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	2-2	2	2	D
14/10	Istanbulspor Türkiye 1 Lig	2-0	4-2	10	1	W
10/10	76 Igdir Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-2	1-2	2	6	L
19/09	Bursaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	1-2	8	4	L
12/09	Bodrum FK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-2	0-4	6	4	L
06/09	Fatih Karagumruk Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	4-3	1	4	W
02/09	Vanspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
29/08	Sivasspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	2-1	6	6	W
23/08	Sariyer Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
17/08	Boluspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Esenler Erokspor

DDLDLDLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Mardin 1969 Türkiye 1 Lig	2-1	4-2	6	5	W
15/10	Manisa BBSK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
10/10	Istanbulspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
19/09	Fatih Karagumruk Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	0-2	9	5	L
13/09	Bursaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-2	2-2	2	4	D
07/09	Kayserispor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-2	0-3	6	8	L
03/09	Bodrum FK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
30/08	76 Igdir Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
22/08	Umraniyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
14/08	Sariyer Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Batman Petrolspor vs Esenler Erokspor?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Esenler Erokspor win (41%). Probabilities: Batman Petrolspor 33%, draw 27%, Esenler Erokspor 41%.

How many goals are expected in Batman Petrolspor vs Esenler Erokspor?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Batman Petrolspor 1.38 · Esenler Erokspor 1.57), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Batman Petrolspor vs Esenler Erokspor?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.