Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 25/10, 14:00

Prediction: Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK

Team pages: Antalyaspor · Bodrum FK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.44Total

Antalyaspor1.5

Bodrum FK0.94

1X2

50% 28% 23%

Antalyaspor Draw Bodrum FK

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Antalyaspor 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWWWLW

Bodrum FK 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DDDDLWDLWW

Head-to-head

Antalyaspor 1–1–1 Bodrum FK (3 last)

Bodrum FK0-0Antalyaspor
Bodrum FK3-1Antalyaspor
Antalyaspor3-2Bodrum FK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Antalyaspor 1499 · Bodrum FK 1519

	Antalyaspor	Draw	Bodrum FK
Our model	49%	29%	22%
Market	50%	27%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Antalyaspor	Bodrum FK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	1.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.8	1.4 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.4	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.30

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 02:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.80▼	Pinn 1.85
X	3.25 → 3.30▲	Pinn 3.48
2	3.50 → 3.90▲	Pinn 4.12 ★

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
11:10 +9’	1.90	3.25	3.50
12:26 +7’	1.80▼	3.30▲	3.90▲
05:17 +2’	1.73▼	3.40▲	4.20▲
02:21 +3’	1.80▲	3.30▼	3.90▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:14 +305’	2.01	3.28	3.77
11:41 +52’	1.77▼	3.58▲	4.42▲
01:28 +56’	1.85▲	3.48▼	4.12▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Antalyaspor 1–1–1 Bodrum FK

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/25 Türkiye Super Lig	Bodrum FK	0-0 HT 0-0	Antalyaspor
05/02/25 Türkiye Cup	Bodrum FK	3-1 HT 2-0	Antalyaspor
09/11/24 Türkiye Super Lig	Antalyaspor	3-2 HT 3-1	Bodrum FK

Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kayserispor	11	8	2	1	24	7	26
2	Bursaspor	11	8	1	2	22	9	25
3	76 Igdir Belediyespor	11	7	2	2	15	8	23
4	Keciorengucu	11	5	5	1	21	11	20
5	Batman Petrolspor	11	6	2	3	22	19	20
6	Mardin 1969	11	5	3	3	14	10	18
7	Antalyaspor	11	6	0	5	17	17	18
8	Sariyer	11	4	4	3	14	15	16
9	Muglaspor	11	3	6	2	13	14	15
10	Bandirmaspor	11	3	5	3	16	8	14
11	Bodrum FK	11	3	5	3	13	10	14
12	Sivasspor	11	2	7	2	15	14	13
13	Fatih Karagumruk	11	3	4	4	14	15	13
14	Esenler Erokspor	11	2	6	3	10	13	12
15	Umraniyespor	10	2	4	4	9	10	10
16	Manisa BBSK	11	2	4	5	18	20	10
17	Pendikspor	11	2	4	5	12	21	10
18	Vanspor FK	11	2	3	6	10	22	7
19	Istanbulspor	11	1	2	8	9	26	5
20	Boluspor	10	0	1	9	3	22	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Antalyaspor	Bodrum FK
Istanbulspor	2-0 W	2-2 D
Bandirmaspor	1-0 W	2-1 W
Sariyer	1-2 L	4-1 W
Pendikspor	2-3 L	1-1 D
Mardin 1969	0-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Bodrum FK (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Antalyaspor

LLLWLWWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Istanbulspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	2-0	6	7	W
14/10	Kayserispor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-3	0-4	5	1	L
10/10	Boluspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
20/09	Vanspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	3-0	3	3	W
12/09	Umraniyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	2-1	6	4	W
06/09	Sivasspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-1	1-2	8	5	L
01/09	Bandirmaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	1-0	1	6	W
28/08	Sariyer Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	1-2	4	7	L
22/08	Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
16/08	Mardin 1969 Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	0-2	–	–	L

Bodrum FK

DDDDLWDLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Bandirmaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	2-1	4	5	W
13/10	Sariyer Türkiye 1 Lig	3-0	4-1	3	3	W
09/10	Keciorengucu Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	0-2	7	5	L
20/09	Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-1	3	1	D
12/09	Batman Petrolspor Türkiye 1 Lig	2-0	4-0	3	4	W
07/09	Mardin 1969 Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
03/09	Esenler Erokspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
30/08	Manisa BBSK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-0	4	0	D
22/08	Muglaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
15/08	Istanbulspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-2	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Antalyaspor win (50%). Probabilities: Antalyaspor 50%, draw 28%, Bodrum FK 23%.

How many goals are expected in Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK?

The model expects 2.44 goals (Antalyaspor 1.5 · Bodrum FK 0.94), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.