Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 18/10, 15:00

Prediction: Kayserispor vs Batman Petrolspor

Team pages: Kayserispor · Batman Petrolspor

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

Kayserispor2.07

Batman Petrolspor1.15

1X2

57% 23% 20%

Kayserispor Draw Batman Petrolspor

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Kayserispor 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWLDWWWWW

Batman Petrolspor 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWLLLW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kayserispor 1589 · Batman Petrolspor 1541

	Kayserispor	Draw	Batman Petrolspor
Our model	57%	23%	20%
Market	57%	23%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kayserispor (rating 1589 vs 1541).
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kayserispor	Batman Petrolspor
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 0.5	2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/30/0%	70/0/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.3	2.6 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.57

X3.90

24.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.98

2 (+1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 4.05
2	4.60 → 4.60	Pinn 5.38 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 7.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:01 +50’	1.57	3.90	4.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:17 +55’	1.55	3.95	5.28
20:16 +81’	1.57▲	4.00▲	5.38▲
23:27 +52’	1.56▼	4.05▲	5.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kayserispor	10	8	1	1	22	5	25
2	Bursaspor	10	7	1	2	20	9	22
3	76 Igdir Belediyespor	10	6	2	2	14	8	20
4	Batman Petrolspor	10	6	1	3	20	17	19
5	Mardin 1969	10	5	3	2	12	6	18
6	Keciorengucu	10	4	5	1	19	10	17
7	Sariyer	10	4	3	3	13	14	15
8	Antalyaspor	10	5	0	5	15	17	15
9	Bandirmaspor	10	3	5	2	15	6	14
10	Fatih Karagumruk	10	3	4	3	13	13	13
11	Sivasspor	10	2	6	2	14	13	12
12	Muglaspor	10	2	6	2	9	11	12
13	Bodrum FK	10	2	5	3	11	9	11
14	Manisa BBSK	10	2	4	4	15	16	10
15	Pendikspor	10	2	4	4	12	19	10
16	Esenler Erokspor	10	1	6	3	6	11	9
17	Umraniyespor	9	1	4	4	7	10	7
18	Vanspor FK	10	2	3	5	10	20	7
19	Istanbulspor	10	1	2	7	9	24	5
20	Boluspor	9	0	1	8	3	21	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kayserispor	Batman Petrolspor
Istanbulspor	4-0 W	4-2 W
Fatih Karagumruk	1-1 D	4-3 W
Bursaspor	1-2 L	1-2 L
76 Igdir Belediyespor	1-0 W	1-2 L
Sivasspor	2-0 W	2-1 W
Vanspor FK	2-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kayserispor (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kayserispor

WWWLDWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/10	Antalyaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	3-0	4-0	1	1	W
10/10	Manisa BBSK Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	3-2	6	8	W
20/09	Mardin 1969 Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
14/09	Istanbulspor Türkiye 1 Lig	3-0	4-0	7	0	W
07/09	Esenler Erokspor Türkiye 1 Lig	2-0	3-0	1	8	W
02/09	Fatih Karagumruk Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
29/08	Bursaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	1-2	5	5	L
22/08	76 Igdir Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
16/08	Sivasspor Türkiye 1 Lig	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
09/08	Vanspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Batman Petrolspor

DWWWWWLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/10	Istanbulspor Türkiye 1 Lig	2-0	4-2	10	1	W
10/10	76 Igdir Belediyespor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-2	1-2	2	6	L
19/09	Bursaspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	1-2	8	4	L
12/09	Bodrum FK Türkiye 1 Lig	0-2	0-4	6	4	L
06/09	Fatih Karagumruk Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	4-3	1	4	W
02/09	Vanspor FK Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
29/08	Sivasspor Türkiye 1 Lig	0-1	2-1	6	6	W
23/08	Sariyer Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
17/08	Boluspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
10/08	Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig	1-0	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kayserispor vs Batman Petrolspor?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kayserispor win (57%). Probabilities: Kayserispor 57%, draw 23%, Batman Petrolspor 20%.

How many goals are expected in Kayserispor vs Batman Petrolspor?

The model expects 3.22 goals (Kayserispor 2.07 · Batman Petrolspor 1.15), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kayserispor vs Batman Petrolspor?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.