Football · Türkiye 1 Lig · 09/10, 19:00
Prediction: Umraniyespor vs Sariyer
Team pages: Umraniyespor · Sariyer
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Umraniyespor1.12
Sariyer1.35
1X2
Umraniyespor
Draw
Sariyer
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Umraniyespor
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Sariyer
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Umraniyespor
3–1
Sariyer
(4 last)
- Sariyer1-2Umraniyespor
- Umraniyespor1-3Sariyer
- Umraniyespor1-0Sariyer
- Sariyer0-2Umraniyespor
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sariyer (rating 1451 vs 1540).
- H2H favours Umraniyespor: 3-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Umraniyespor | Sariyer | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.9 | 1.3 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Umraniyespor 3–0–1 Sariyer
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/26 Türkiye 1 Lig | Sariyer | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Umraniyespor |
| 17/10/25 Türkiye 1 Lig | Umraniyespor | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Sariyer |
| 11/03/16 Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz | Umraniyespor | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sariyer |
| 30/10/15 Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz | Sariyer | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Umraniyespor |
Standings · Türkiye 1 Lig
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kayserispor | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 19 |
| 2 | Bursaspor | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | 76 Igdir Belediyespor | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Batman Petrolspor | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 16 |
| 5 | Sariyer | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 14 |
| 6 | Keciorengucu | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 10 | 13 |
| 7 | Mardin 1969 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 12 |
| 9 | Fatih Karagumruk | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
| 10 | Muglaspor | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 11 |
| 11 | Bandirmaspor | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 10 |
| 12 | Pendikspor | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 10 |
| 13 | Manisa BBSK | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 9 |
| 14 | Bodrum FK | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
| 15 | Sivasspor | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 8 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 17 | Esenler Erokspor | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 5 |
| 18 | Istanbulspor | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 5 |
| 19 | Vanspor FK | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 4 |
| 20 | Boluspor | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Umraniyespor | Sariyer |
|---|---|---|
| Bandirmaspor | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Antalyaspor | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Pendikspor | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Muglaspor | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Keciorengucu | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Esenler Erokspor | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Sariyer (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Umraniyespor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Bandirmaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Antalyaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 01/09 | Muglaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 28/08 | Keciorengucu Türkiye 1 Lig |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Esenler Erokspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Fatih Karagumruk Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Mardin 1969 Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | Keciorengucu Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-4 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Adana Demirspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
Sariyer
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Boluspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 11/09 | Bandirmaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 05/09 | Keciorengucu Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 01/09 | Pendikspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 28/08 | Antalyaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 23/08 | Batman Petrolspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/08 | Esenler Erokspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | Muglaspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Bodrum FK Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Esenler Erokspor Türkiye 1 Lig |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Umraniyespor vs Sariyer?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sariyer win (41%). Probabilities: Umraniyespor 30%, draw 29%, Sariyer 41%.
How many goals are expected in Umraniyespor vs Sariyer?
The model expects 2.48 goals (Umraniyespor 1.12 · Sariyer 1.35), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Umraniyespor vs Sariyer?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.