Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 26/09, 15:00

Prediction: Frydlant Nad Ostravici vs TJ Valasske Mezirici

Team pages: Frydlant Nad Ostravici · TJ Valasske Mezirici

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.17Total

Frydlant Nad Ostravici2.05

TJ Valasske Mezirici2.12

1X2

38% 22% 40%

Frydlant Nad Ostravici Draw TJ Valasske Mezirici

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

1-1 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Frydlant Nad Ostravici 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

DDDLLLLLLL

TJ Valasske Mezirici 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLDLDWLD

Head-to-head

Frydlant Nad Ostravici 1–1 TJ Valasske Mezirici (2 last)

TJ Valasske Mezirici4-1Frydlant Nad Ostravici
Frydlant Nad Ostravici3-1TJ Valasske Mezirici

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TJ Valasske Mezirici (rating 1384 vs 1449).
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	TJ Valasske Mezirici
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 3.3	1.9 / 3.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	0.7 / 1.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	0/30/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 2.5	2 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0	4.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.88

Under 3.51.83

Diff.: 1.45 · xG: 4.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:44

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.57 → 4.57	Pinn 4.57
X	4.17 → 4.17	Pinn 4.17
2	1.50 → 1.50	Pinn 1.50

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:12 +92’	4.57	4.17	1.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Frydlant Nad Ostravici 1–0–1 TJ Valasske Mezirici

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Valasske Mezirici	4-1 HT 2-0	Frydlant Nad Ostravici
17/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	3-1 HT 2-1	TJ Valasske Mezirici

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	7	7	0	0	27	7	21
2	Hlucin	7	6	0	1	18	7	18
3	Kravare	7	5	1	1	19	11	16
4	FC Vratimov	7	5	0	2	14	9	15
5	Jiskra Rymarov	7	4	1	2	18	10	13
6	Opava B	7	4	1	2	16	12	13
7	TJ Novy Jicin	7	4	1	2	15	13	13
8	SK Stonava	7	3	2	2	12	10	11
9	SK Zabreh	7	3	1	3	8	8	10
10	FK Sumperk	7	2	1	4	10	12	7
11	Pusta Polom	7	2	1	4	9	14	7
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	7	1	3	3	12	17	6
13	Bridlicna	7	1	1	5	9	18	4
14	SSK Bilovec	7	1	1	5	4	15	4
15	Frydek Mistek B	7	1	0	6	11	18	3
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	7	0	0	7	7	28	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	TJ Valasske Mezirici
Frydek Mistek B	1-5 L	4-2 W
Jiskra Rymarov	2-5 L	2-2 D
FC Vratimov	1-2 L	0-2 L
FK Sumperk	1-5 L	1-1 D
Kravare	2-7 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 5 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: TJ Valasske Mezirici (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Frydlant Nad Ostravici

DDDLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Frydek Mistek B Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-5	–	–	L
12/09	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-5	–	–	L
05/09	FC Vratimov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-2	1	6	L
29/08	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-5	0	3	L
22/08	Kravare Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	2-7	3	7	L
15/08	TJ Novy Jicin Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
09/08	Pusta Polom Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
14/06	FK Petrvald na Morave Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-2	6	5	D
06/06	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
31/05	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D

TJ Valasske Mezirici

LLLLDLDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	SK Stonava Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	9	5	D
12/09	Hlucin Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-5	–	–	L
06/09	Frydek Mistek B Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	4-2	5	5	W
29/08	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-2	–	–	D
22/08	FC Vratimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
15/08	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	5	1	D
09/08	Kravare Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-3	4	9	L
12/06	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	3-5	6	4	L
05/06	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	1-8	–	–	L
30/05	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	2-3	3-5	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Frydlant Nad Ostravici vs TJ Valasske Mezirici?

According to our model, the most likely result is an TJ Valasske Mezirici win (40%). Probabilities: Frydlant Nad Ostravici 38%, draw 22%, TJ Valasske Mezirici 40%.

How many goals are expected in Frydlant Nad Ostravici vs TJ Valasske Mezirici?

The model expects 4.17 goals (Frydlant Nad Ostravici 2.05 · TJ Valasske Mezirici 2.12), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Frydlant Nad Ostravici vs TJ Valasske Mezirici?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.