Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 04/10, 15:00

Prediction: SC Znojmo vs AFC Humpolec

Team pages: SC Znojmo · AFC Humpolec

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.45Total

SC Znojmo2.49

AFC Humpolec0.96

1X2

70% 18% 12%

SC Znojmo Draw AFC Humpolec

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

SC Znojmo 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLDWDWWWLD

AFC Humpolec 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWDDLLLLWD

Head-to-head

SC Znojmo 1–1 AFC Humpolec (2 last)

SC Znojmo2-3AFC Humpolec
AFC Humpolec0-2SC Znojmo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SC Znojmo 1524 · AFC Humpolec 1464

	SC Znojmo	Draw	AFC Humpolec
Our model	70%	18%	12%
Market	70%	18%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SC Znojmo (rating 1524 vs 1464).
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SC Znojmo	AFC Humpolec
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 1.1	1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.1	2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.28

X5.00

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
10:32 +18’	1.28	5.00	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Znojmo 1–0–1 AFC Humpolec

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Czechia 4. Liga	SC Znojmo	2-3 HT 0-1	AFC Humpolec
02/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	AFC Humpolec	0-2 HT 0-1	SC Znojmo

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	8	7	0	1	29	10	21
2	Kravare	8	6	1	1	21	11	19
3	Hlucin	9	6	1	2	20	12	19
4	FC Vratimov	8	6	0	2	17	11	18
5	Jiskra Rymarov	8	4	2	2	20	12	14
6	SK Stonava	8	4	2	2	16	11	14
7	TJ Novy Jicin	9	4	2	3	18	17	14
8	Opava B	8	4	1	3	18	15	13
9	SK Zabreh	8	3	2	3	10	10	11
10	Pusta Polom	8	3	1	4	12	16	10
11	TJ Valasske Mezirici	8	2	3	3	18	17	9
12	FK Sumperk	8	2	1	5	11	14	7
13	Bridlicna	8	2	1	5	11	19	7
14	Frydek Mistek B	8	2	0	6	14	20	6
15	SSK Bilovec	8	1	1	6	4	17	4
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	8	0	0	8	7	34	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SC Znojmo	AFC Humpolec
FC Spartak Velka Bites	1-1 D	3-2 W
FC Chotebor	2-4 L	0-0 D
Zdar nad Sazavou	2-0 W	2-1 W
FS Trebic	6-1 W	1-2 L
Sparta Brno	3-0 W	0-1 L
Dosta Bystrc	1-1 D	0-2 L
FC Kurim	2-1 W	0-1 L
TJ Sokol Bedrichov	0-0 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: SC Znojmo (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SC Znojmo

WLDWDWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	1	3	D
19/09	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-4	8	5	L
13/09	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	11	1	W
05/09	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	6-1	5	2	W
29/08	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
22/08	Dosta Bystrc Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	10	5	D
15/08	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
08/08	TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
13/06	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
05/06	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	4-0	10-1	3	1	W

AFC Humpolec

LWDDLLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
20/09	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-1	4	4	W
13/09	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
05/09	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
30/08	Dosta Bystrc Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
22/08	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
16/08	TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-2	8	3	D
07/08	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
13/06	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	3-2	–	–	W
05/06	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 4. Liga	0-5	1-5	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SC Znojmo vs AFC Humpolec?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SC Znojmo win (70%). Probabilities: SC Znojmo 70%, draw 18%, AFC Humpolec 12%.

How many goals are expected in SC Znojmo vs AFC Humpolec?

The model expects 3.45 goals (SC Znojmo 2.49 · AFC Humpolec 0.96), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SC Znojmo vs AFC Humpolec?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.