Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 04/10, 15:00

Prediction: Zdar nad Sazavou vs Sokol Tasovice

Team pages: Zdar nad Sazavou · Sokol Tasovice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.73Total

Zdar nad Sazavou1.98

Sokol Tasovice1.75

1X2

43% 24% 33%

Zdar nad Sazavou Draw Sokol Tasovice

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Zdar nad Sazavou 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLWDWDLLLL

Sokol Tasovice 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDDWDDLD

Head-to-head

Zdar nad Sazavou 3–2–1 Sokol Tasovice (6 last)

Zdar nad Sazavou3-3Sokol Tasovice
Sokol Tasovice1-1Zdar nad Sazavou
Zdar nad Sazavou3-1Sokol Tasovice
Sokol Tasovice0-4Zdar nad Sazavou
Zdar nad Sazavou1-3Sokol Tasovice
Sokol Tasovice1-3Zdar nad Sazavou

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zdar nad Sazavou 1426 · Sokol Tasovice 1533

	Zdar nad Sazavou	Draw	Sokol Tasovice
Our model	43%	23%	34%
Market	43%	24%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.73 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sokol Tasovice (rating 1426 vs 1533).
H2H favours Zdar nad Sazavou: 3-2-1.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zdar nad Sazavou	Sokol Tasovice
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.7	2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.1	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.2 / 5.8	3.1 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.75

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
08:27 +4’	2.10	3.75	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Zdar nad Sazavou 3–2–1 Sokol Tasovice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Zdar nad Sazavou	3-3 HT 1-1	Sokol Tasovice
28/09/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Sokol Tasovice	1-1 HT 1-0	Zdar nad Sazavou
18/04/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Zdar nad Sazavou	3-1 HT 0-1	Sokol Tasovice
16/11/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Sokol Tasovice	0-4 HT 0-2	Zdar nad Sazavou
15/06/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Zdar nad Sazavou	1-3 HT 1-1	Sokol Tasovice
11/11/23 Czechia 4. Liga	Sokol Tasovice	1-3 HT 1-2	Zdar nad Sazavou

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	8	7	0	1	29	10	21
2	Kravare	8	6	1	1	21	11	19
3	Hlucin	9	6	1	2	20	12	19
4	FC Vratimov	8	6	0	2	17	11	18
5	Jiskra Rymarov	8	4	2	2	20	12	14
6	SK Stonava	8	4	2	2	16	11	14
7	TJ Novy Jicin	9	4	2	3	18	17	14
8	Opava B	8	4	1	3	18	15	13
9	SK Zabreh	8	3	2	3	10	10	11
10	Pusta Polom	8	3	1	4	12	16	10
11	TJ Valasske Mezirici	8	2	3	3	18	17	9
12	FK Sumperk	8	2	1	5	11	14	7
13	Bridlicna	8	2	1	5	11	19	7
14	Frydek Mistek B	8	2	0	6	14	20	6
15	SSK Bilovec	8	1	1	6	4	17	4
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	8	0	0	8	7	34	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zdar nad Sazavou	Sokol Tasovice
FS Trebic	5-0 W	1-1 D
Sparta Brno	1-1 D	2-3 L
Dosta Bystrc	3-2 W	0-0 D
FC Kurim	0-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Zdar nad Sazavou (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zdar nad Sazavou

LLWDWDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-4	–	–	L
20/09	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-2	13	4	L
13/09	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	5	1	L
06/09	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	5	4	L
30/08	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
22/08	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	4-0	5-0	–	–	W
16/08	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	4	0	D
08/08	Dosta Bystrc Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	3-2	8	6	W
13/06	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
05/06	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-4	1-10	0	1	L

Sokol Tasovice

WWWDDWDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
19/09	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-3	5	5	L
13/09	Dosta Bystrc Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
05/09	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	7	4	D
30/08	TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	4-1	12	1	W
21/08	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
16/08	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-2	6	8	D
09/08	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	6	3	W
12/06	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	10	4	W
07/06	TJ Dalnice Sperice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	5-2	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zdar nad Sazavou vs Sokol Tasovice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zdar nad Sazavou win (43%). Probabilities: Zdar nad Sazavou 43%, draw 24%, Sokol Tasovice 33%.

How many goals are expected in Zdar nad Sazavou vs Sokol Tasovice?

The model expects 3.73 goals (Zdar nad Sazavou 1.98 · Sokol Tasovice 1.75), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Zdar nad Sazavou vs Sokol Tasovice?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.