Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 04/10, 15:00

Prediction: TJ Sokol Lanzhot vs SFK Holesov

Team pages: TJ Sokol Lanzhot · SFK Holesov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.86Total

TJ Sokol Lanzhot1.87

SFK Holesov0.99

1X2

58% 23% 19%

TJ Sokol Lanzhot Draw SFK Holesov

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

TJ Sokol Lanzhot 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLWWWW

SFK Holesov 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WLWDWDLLDD

Head-to-head

TJ Sokol Lanzhot 2–0 SFK Holesov (2 last)

SFK Holesov0-3TJ Sokol Lanzhot
TJ Sokol Lanzhot1-0SFK Holesov

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TJ Sokol Lanzhot 1561 · SFK Holesov 1470

	TJ Sokol Lanzhot	Draw	SFK Holesov
Our model	57%	24%	18%
Market	59%	21%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TJ Sokol Lanzhot (rating 1561 vs 1470).
H2H favours TJ Sokol Lanzhot: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TJ Sokol Lanzhot	SFK Holesov
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.1	1.9 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	1.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 3.8	1.8 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.53

X4.20

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.88

2 (+1)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
08:22 +8’	1.53	4.20	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · TJ Sokol Lanzhot 2–0–0 SFK Holesov

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Czechia 4. Liga	SFK Holesov	0-3 HT 0-1	TJ Sokol Lanzhot
28/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Sokol Lanzhot	1-0 HT 1-0	SFK Holesov

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	8	7	0	1	29	10	21
2	Kravare	8	6	1	1	21	11	19
3	Hlucin	9	6	1	2	20	12	19
4	FC Vratimov	8	6	0	2	17	11	18
5	Jiskra Rymarov	8	4	2	2	20	12	14
6	SK Stonava	8	4	2	2	16	11	14
7	TJ Novy Jicin	9	4	2	3	18	17	14
8	Opava B	8	4	1	3	18	15	13
9	SK Zabreh	8	3	2	3	10	10	11
10	Pusta Polom	8	3	1	4	12	16	10
11	TJ Valasske Mezirici	8	2	3	3	18	17	9
12	FK Sumperk	8	2	1	5	11	14	7
13	Bridlicna	8	2	1	5	11	19	7
14	Frydek Mistek B	8	2	0	6	14	20	6
15	SSK Bilovec	8	1	1	6	4	17	4
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	8	0	0	8	7	34	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TJ Sokol Lanzhot	SFK Holesov
FC Brumov	1-0 W	3-3 D
SK Batov	1-0 W	3-1 W
SK Prostejov B	3-1 W	2-2 D
Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B	3-2 W	3-0 W
FC Strani	1-3 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TJ Sokol Lanzhot

WWLWLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	FC Brumov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
20/09	SK Batov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	5	1	W
12/09	SK Prostejov B Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	3-1	3	1	W
06/09	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	3-2	8	9	W
29/08	Sternberk Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
23/08	FC Strani Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
16/08	Bzenec Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
09/08	Tatran Vsechovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	0	2	L
13/06	FC Brumov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
07/06	FC Strani Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	7	W

SFK Holesov

WLWDWDLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	FK Kozlovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
18/09	Hluk Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-2	2	6	D
12/09	Breclav Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
05/09	SK Krumvir Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
30/08	FC Brumov Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-3	5	2	D
22/08	SK Batov Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	5	2	W
15/08	SK Prostejov B Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	2-2	2	5	D
08/08	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	5	8	W
12/06	FC Strani Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-3	–	–	L
06/06	SK Batov Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	14	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TJ Sokol Lanzhot vs SFK Holesov?

According to our model, the most likely result is a TJ Sokol Lanzhot win (58%). Probabilities: TJ Sokol Lanzhot 58%, draw 23%, SFK Holesov 19%.

How many goals are expected in TJ Sokol Lanzhot vs SFK Holesov?

The model expects 2.86 goals (TJ Sokol Lanzhot 1.87 · SFK Holesov 0.99), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in TJ Sokol Lanzhot vs SFK Holesov?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.