Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 27/09, 15:00

Prediction: Pusta Polom vs TJ Novy Jicin

Team pages: Pusta Polom · TJ Novy Jicin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

Pusta Polom1.68

TJ Novy Jicin1.62

1X2

39% 24% 37%

Pusta Polom Draw TJ Novy Jicin

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Pusta Polom 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWWWLDLWLL

TJ Novy Jicin 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWLDWLWLWW

Head-to-head

Pusta Polom 2–2–0 TJ Novy Jicin (4 last)

Pusta Polom0-0TJ Novy Jicin
TJ Novy Jicin0-1Pusta Polom
Pusta Polom2-2TJ Novy Jicin
TJ Novy Jicin1-2Pusta Polom

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pusta Polom 1506 · TJ Novy Jicin 1506

	Pusta Polom	Draw	TJ Novy Jicin
Our model	39%	25%	36%
Market	40%	22%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Pusta Polom: 2-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pusta Polom	TJ Novy Jicin
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.8	1.9 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	0.9 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.5	2.3 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.5	4.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X4.00

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
04:38 +16’	2.25	4.00	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Pusta Polom 2–2–0 TJ Novy Jicin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Pusta Polom	0-0 HT 0-0	TJ Novy Jicin
25/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Novy Jicin	0-1 HT 0-0	Pusta Polom
05/04/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Pusta Polom	2-2 HT 2-1	TJ Novy Jicin
31/08/24 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Novy Jicin	1-2 HT 1-1	Pusta Polom

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	7	7	0	0	27	7	21
2	Hlucin	7	6	0	1	18	7	18
3	Kravare	7	5	1	1	19	11	16
4	FC Vratimov	7	5	0	2	14	9	15
5	Jiskra Rymarov	7	4	1	2	18	10	13
6	Opava B	7	4	1	2	16	12	13
7	TJ Novy Jicin	7	4	1	2	15	13	13
8	SK Stonava	7	3	2	2	12	10	11
9	SK Zabreh	7	3	1	3	8	8	10
10	FK Sumperk	7	2	1	4	10	12	7
11	Pusta Polom	7	2	1	4	9	14	7
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	7	1	3	3	12	17	6
13	Bridlicna	7	1	1	5	9	18	4
14	SSK Bilovec	7	1	1	5	4	15	4
15	Frydek Mistek B	7	1	0	6	11	18	3
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	7	0	0	7	7	28	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pusta Polom	TJ Novy Jicin
SSK Bilovec	0-1 L	3-0 W
Bridlicna	1-0 W	4-2 W
FK Bohumin	1-4 L	2-4 L
SK Zabreh	2-2 D	1-0 W
Opava B	1-3 L	2-5 L
Frydlant Nad Ostravici	3-0 W	1-0 W
Jiskra Rymarov	3-2 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	5 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: TJ Novy Jicin (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pusta Polom

DWWWLDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Hlucin Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	1-4	3	2	L
13/09	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
06/09	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
30/08	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-4	6	4	L
23/08	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
16/08	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-3	3	4	L
09/08	Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
13/06	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
07/06	FC Irp Cesky Tesin Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
31/05	TJ Novy Jicin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

TJ Novy Jicin

DWLDWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	3-0	–	–	W
12/09	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	4-2	6	6	W
05/09	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-4	4	3	L
30/08	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
22/08	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	0-5	2-5	3	2	L
15/08	Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	SK Stonava Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
13/06	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	2-7	–	–	L
05/06	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	7	8	W
31/05	Pusta Polom Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pusta Polom vs TJ Novy Jicin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pusta Polom win (39%). Probabilities: Pusta Polom 39%, draw 24%, TJ Novy Jicin 37%.

How many goals are expected in Pusta Polom vs TJ Novy Jicin?

The model expects 3.3 goals (Pusta Polom 1.68 · TJ Novy Jicin 1.62), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Pusta Polom vs TJ Novy Jicin?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.