Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 27/09, 15:00

Prediction: AFC Humpolec vs FC Chotebor

Team pages: AFC Humpolec · FC Chotebor

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

AFC Humpolec1.6

FC Chotebor1.48

1X2

40% 26% 34%

AFC Humpolec Draw FC Chotebor

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

AFC Humpolec 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLWDDLLLLW

FC Chotebor 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLDLLWDW

Head-to-head

AFC Humpolec 1–1 FC Chotebor (2 last)

FC Chotebor2-1AFC Humpolec
AFC Humpolec3-0FC Chotebor

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AFC Humpolec	FC Chotebor
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.9	1.2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.5	2.5 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.97

Under 31.75

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:10

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.49 → 2.49	Pinn 2.49
X	3.54 → 3.54	Pinn 3.54
2	2.26 → 2.26	Pinn 2.26

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:12 +58’	2.49	3.54	2.26

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AFC Humpolec 1–0–1 FC Chotebor

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Chotebor	2-1 HT 2-0	AFC Humpolec
16/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	AFC Humpolec	3-0 HT 1-0	FC Chotebor

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	7	7	0	0	27	7	21
2	Hlucin	8	6	0	2	19	11	18
3	Kravare	7	5	1	1	19	11	16
4	FC Vratimov	7	5	0	2	14	9	15
5	SK Stonava	8	4	2	2	16	11	14
6	Jiskra Rymarov	7	4	1	2	18	10	13
7	Opava B	8	4	1	3	18	15	13
8	TJ Novy Jicin	7	4	1	2	15	13	13
9	SK Zabreh	7	3	1	3	8	8	10
10	TJ Valasske Mezirici	8	2	3	3	18	17	9
11	FK Sumperk	7	2	1	4	10	12	7
12	Pusta Polom	7	2	1	4	9	14	7
13	Frydek Mistek B	8	2	0	6	14	20	6
14	Bridlicna	7	1	1	5	9	18	4
15	SSK Bilovec	7	1	1	5	4	15	4
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	8	0	0	8	7	34	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AFC Humpolec	FC Chotebor
Zdar nad Sazavou	2-1 W	2-0 W
FS Trebic	1-2 L	0-2 L
Sparta Brno	0-1 L	0-2 L
Dosta Bystrc	0-2 L	2-2 D
FC Kurim	0-1 L	1-8 L
FC Spartak Velka Bites	3-2 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: AFC Humpolec (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AFC Humpolec

LLWDDLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-1	4	4	W
13/09	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
05/09	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
30/08	Dosta Bystrc Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
22/08	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
16/08	TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-2	8	3	D
07/08	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
13/06	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	3-2	–	–	W
05/06	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 4. Liga	0-5	1-5	2	4	L
30/05	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-2	–	–	L

FC Chotebor

WLLLDLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	4-2	0	5	W
12/09	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
06/09	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	9	4	W
28/08	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
22/08	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
16/08	Dosta Bystrc Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
08/08	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	1-8	2	3	L
13/06	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	6	2	L
06/06	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
30/05	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AFC Humpolec vs FC Chotebor?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AFC Humpolec win (40%). Probabilities: AFC Humpolec 40%, draw 26%, FC Chotebor 34%.

How many goals are expected in AFC Humpolec vs FC Chotebor?

The model expects 3.09 goals (AFC Humpolec 1.6 · FC Chotebor 1.48), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in AFC Humpolec vs FC Chotebor?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.