Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 27/09, 15:00

Prediction: FK Pelhrimov vs FC Kurim

Team pages: FK Pelhrimov · FC Kurim

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.72Total

FK Pelhrimov2.02

FC Kurim1.71

1X2

45% 23% 32%

FK Pelhrimov Draw FC Kurim

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Pelhrimov 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWDLDLWW

FC Kurim 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWWDLW

Head-to-head

FK Pelhrimov 0–1–1 FC Kurim (2 last)

FC Kurim8-1FK Pelhrimov
FK Pelhrimov1-1FC Kurim

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Pelhrimov	FC Kurim
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.2	2.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.2	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 5.2	2.8 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.77

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:10

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.82 → 2.82	Pinn 2.82
X	4.01 → 4.01	Pinn 4.01
2	1.92 → 1.92	Pinn 1.92

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
04:11 +59’	2.82	4.01	1.92

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Pelhrimov 0–1–1 FC Kurim

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Kurim	8-1 HT 4-0	FK Pelhrimov
19/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Pelhrimov	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Kurim

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	7	7	0	0	27	7	21
2	Hlucin	8	6	0	2	19	11	18
3	Kravare	7	5	1	1	19	11	16
4	FC Vratimov	7	5	0	2	14	9	15
5	SK Stonava	8	4	2	2	16	11	14
6	Jiskra Rymarov	7	4	1	2	18	10	13
7	Opava B	8	4	1	3	18	15	13
8	TJ Novy Jicin	7	4	1	2	15	13	13
9	SK Zabreh	7	3	1	3	8	8	10
10	TJ Valasske Mezirici	8	2	3	3	18	17	9
11	FK Sumperk	7	2	1	4	10	12	7
12	Pusta Polom	7	2	1	4	9	14	7
13	Frydek Mistek B	8	2	0	6	14	20	6
14	Bridlicna	7	1	1	5	9	18	4
15	SSK Bilovec	7	1	1	5	4	15	4
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	8	0	0	8	7	34	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Pelhrimov	FC Kurim
SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou	2-2 D	6-1 W
TJ Tatran Bohunice	1-2 L	0-3 L
Sokol Tasovice	2-2 D	1-1 D
Havlickuv Brod	1-0 W	3-1 W
FC Chotebor	2-1 W	8-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Kurim (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Pelhrimov

WWLWDLDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	5-1	7	2	W
13/09	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	5-0	–	–	W
05/09	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	9	2	L
30/08	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-2	2	5	D
23/08	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
16/08	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-2	4	8	D
09/08	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
12/06	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
06/06	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
31/05	TJ Dalnice Sperice Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	–	–	W

FC Kurim

LWWWLWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	4-1	6-1	4	4	W
12/09	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	7	2	L
05/09	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
29/08	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	8	2	W
22/08	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	11	4	W
15/08	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
08/08	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	8-1	3	3	W
13/06	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
06/06	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	3	4	W
30/05	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	6	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Pelhrimov vs FC Kurim?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Pelhrimov win (45%). Probabilities: FK Pelhrimov 45%, draw 23%, FC Kurim 32%.

How many goals are expected in FK Pelhrimov vs FC Kurim?

The model expects 3.72 goals (FK Pelhrimov 2.02 · FC Kurim 1.71), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Pelhrimov vs FC Kurim?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.