Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 27/09, 15:00

Prediction: Sokol Tasovice vs FS Trebic

Team pages: Sokol Tasovice · FS Trebic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.1Total

Sokol Tasovice1.86

FS Trebic1.24

1X2

51% 23% 25%

Sokol Tasovice Draw FS Trebic

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Sokol Tasovice 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWDDWDDL

FS Trebic 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DDWWLLWLWW

Head-to-head

Sokol Tasovice 2–3–1 FS Trebic (6 last)

FS Trebic0-1Sokol Tasovice
FS Trebic1-1Sokol Tasovice
Sokol Tasovice2-1FS Trebic
FS Trebic0-0Sokol Tasovice
Sokol Tasovice0-0FS Trebic
Sokol Tasovice0-2FS Trebic

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sokol Tasovice 1539 · FS Trebic 1499

	Sokol Tasovice	Draw	FS Trebic
Our model	51%	25%	24%
Market	52%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.1 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sokol Tasovice (rating 1539 vs 1499).
H2H favours Sokol Tasovice: 2-3-1.
High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sokol Tasovice	FS Trebic
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.2	1.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6.3	1 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.00

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
03:10 +9’	1.73	4.00	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sokol Tasovice 2–3–1 FS Trebic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/26 Czechia Cup	FS Trebic	0-1 HT 0-0	Sokol Tasovice
30/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FS Trebic	1-1 HT 0-1	Sokol Tasovice
26/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Sokol Tasovice	2-1 HT 1-0	FS Trebic
23/03/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FS Trebic	0-0 HT 0-0	Sokol Tasovice
18/08/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Sokol Tasovice	0-0 HT 0-0	FS Trebic
30/07/16 Czechia Cup	Sokol Tasovice	0-2 HT 0-1	FS Trebic

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	7	7	0	0	27	7	21
2	Hlucin	7	6	0	1	18	7	18
3	Kravare	7	5	1	1	19	11	16
4	FC Vratimov	7	5	0	2	14	9	15
5	Jiskra Rymarov	7	4	1	2	18	10	13
6	Opava B	7	4	1	2	16	12	13
7	TJ Novy Jicin	7	4	1	2	15	13	13
8	SK Stonava	7	3	2	2	12	10	11
9	SK Zabreh	7	3	1	3	8	8	10
10	FK Sumperk	7	2	1	4	10	12	7
11	Pusta Polom	7	2	1	4	9	14	7
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	7	1	3	3	12	17	6
13	Bridlicna	7	1	1	5	9	18	4
14	SSK Bilovec	7	1	1	5	4	15	4
15	Frydek Mistek B	7	1	0	6	11	18	3
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	7	0	0	7	7	28	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sokol Tasovice	FS Trebic
Sparta Brno	2-3 L	2-1 W
Velke Mezirici	0-0 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FS Trebic (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sokol Tasovice

DWWWDDWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-3	5	5	L
13/09	Dosta Bystrc Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
05/09	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	7	4	D
30/08	TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	4-1	12	1	W
21/08	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
16/08	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-2	6	8	D
09/08	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	6	3	W
12/06	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	10	4	W
07/06	TJ Dalnice Sperice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	5-2	6	4	W
30/05	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	4	D

FS Trebic

DDWWLLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
13/09	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
05/09	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	1-6	10	2	L
28/08	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
22/08	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	0-4	0-5	–	–	L
15/08	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-1	2	4	W
13/06	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	7	1	W
07/06	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
30/05	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	6	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sokol Tasovice vs FS Trebic?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sokol Tasovice win (51%). Probabilities: Sokol Tasovice 51%, draw 23%, FS Trebic 25%.

How many goals are expected in Sokol Tasovice vs FS Trebic?

The model expects 3.1 goals (Sokol Tasovice 1.86 · FS Trebic 1.24), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sokol Tasovice vs FS Trebic?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.