Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 25/09, 16:15

Prediction: TJ Tatran Bohunice vs Sparta Brno

Team pages: TJ Tatran Bohunice · Sparta Brno

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

TJ Tatran Bohunice2.42

Sparta Brno0.93

1X2

69% 19% 12%

TJ Tatran Bohunice Draw Sparta Brno

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

TJ Tatran Bohunice 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WLDWDWDWWW

Sparta Brno 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLDWLWLW

Head-to-head

TJ Tatran Bohunice 2–4–0 Sparta Brno (6 last)

Sparta Brno0-0TJ Tatran Bohunice
TJ Tatran Bohunice2-0Sparta Brno
TJ Tatran Bohunice2-1Sparta Brno
TJ Tatran Bohunice1-1Sparta Brno
TJ Tatran Bohunice1-1Sparta Brno
Sparta Brno2-2TJ Tatran Bohunice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TJ Tatran Bohunice 1576 · Sparta Brno 1481

	TJ Tatran Bohunice	Draw	Sparta Brno
Our model	69%	19%	12%
Market	69%	19%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TJ Tatran Bohunice (rating 1576 vs 1481).
H2H favours TJ Tatran Bohunice: 2-4-0.
High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TJ Tatran Bohunice	Sparta Brno
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 0.9	1.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 7.7	2.4 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.28

X4.75

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.98

2 (+1.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 05:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.28▼	Bet365 1.28
X	4.75 → 4.75	Pinn 4.87 ★
2	5.75 → 7.50▲	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.2% Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
02:03 +2’	1.36	4.75	5.75
04:58 +6’	1.28▼	4.75	7.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:29 +35’	1.25	5.09	7.48
07:04 +1’	1.27▲	4.97▼	7.36▼
08:36 +29’	1.28▲	4.87▼	7.11▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · TJ Tatran Bohunice 2–4–0 Sparta Brno

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/04/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Sparta Brno	0-0 HT 0-0	TJ Tatran Bohunice
30/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Tatran Bohunice	2-0 HT 0-0	Sparta Brno
04/06/22 Czechia 5. Liga	TJ Tatran Bohunice	2-1 HT 2-1	Sparta Brno
24/08/19 Czechia 5. Liga	TJ Tatran Bohunice	1-1 HT 1-1	Sparta Brno
06/04/19 Czechia 5. Liga	TJ Tatran Bohunice	1-1 HT 1-0	Sparta Brno
01/05/18 Czechia 5. Liga	Sparta Brno	2-2 HT 0-1	TJ Tatran Bohunice

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	7	7	0	0	27	7	21
2	Hlucin	7	6	0	1	18	7	18
3	Kravare	7	5	1	1	19	11	16
4	FC Vratimov	7	5	0	2	14	9	15
5	Jiskra Rymarov	7	4	1	2	18	10	13
6	Opava B	7	4	1	2	16	12	13
7	TJ Novy Jicin	7	4	1	2	15	13	13
8	SK Stonava	7	3	2	2	12	10	11
9	SK Zabreh	7	3	1	3	8	8	10
10	FK Sumperk	7	2	1	4	10	12	7
11	Pusta Polom	7	2	1	4	9	14	7
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	7	1	3	3	12	17	6
13	Bridlicna	7	1	1	5	9	18	4
14	SSK Bilovec	7	1	1	5	4	15	4
15	Frydek Mistek B	7	1	0	6	11	18	3
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	7	0	0	7	7	28	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TJ Tatran Bohunice	Sparta Brno
FC Kurim	3-0 W	1-3 L
Havlickuv Brod	2-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: TJ Tatran Bohunice (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TJ Tatran Bohunice

WLDWDWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Dosta Bystrc Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	6	3	W
12/09	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	4	2	W
05/09	TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	4-0	8	5	W
28/08	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	3-3	14	5	D
23/08	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
09/08	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	4-0	5	1	W
12/06	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
05/06	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	11	2	L
30/05	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	13	5	W

Sparta Brno

LLWLDWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-2	5	5	W
12/09	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
05/09	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
29/08	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
22/08	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
16/08	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	2	0	D
08/08	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-2	9	4	L
13/06	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	7	2	W
06/06	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-3	6	4	L
31/05	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	1-5	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TJ Tatran Bohunice vs Sparta Brno?

According to our model, the most likely result is a TJ Tatran Bohunice win (69%). Probabilities: TJ Tatran Bohunice 69%, draw 19%, Sparta Brno 12%.

How many goals are expected in TJ Tatran Bohunice vs Sparta Brno?

The model expects 3.35 goals (TJ Tatran Bohunice 2.42 · Sparta Brno 0.93), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in TJ Tatran Bohunice vs Sparta Brno?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.