Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 26/09, 15:00
Prediction: SFK Holesov vs FK Kozlovice
Team pages: SFK Holesov · FK Kozlovice
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.42Total
SFK Holesov1.54
FK Kozlovice1.88
1X2
SFK Holesov
Draw
FK Kozlovice
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
SFK Holesov
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
FK Kozlovice
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SFK Holesov
0–2–4
FK Kozlovice
(6 last)
- SFK Holesov1-1FK Kozlovice
- FK Kozlovice4-2SFK Holesov
- SFK Holesov0-0FK Kozlovice
- FK Kozlovice6-2SFK Holesov
- FK Kozlovice1-0SFK Holesov
- SFK Holesov0-2FK Kozlovice
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Kozlovice (rating 1478 vs 1585).
- H2H favours FK Kozlovice: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SFK Holesov | FK Kozlovice | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.6 | 3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 1.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 70/30/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.9 | 2.9 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SFK Holesov 0–2–4 FK Kozlovice
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Czechia 4. Liga | SFK Holesov | 1-1 HT 1-0 | FK Kozlovice |
| 21/09/25 Czechia 4. Liga | FK Kozlovice | 4-2 | SFK Holesov |
| 17/05/25 Czechia 4. Liga | SFK Holesov | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Kozlovice |
| 13/10/24 Czechia 4. Liga | FK Kozlovice | 6-2 HT 3-1 | SFK Holesov |
| 28/07/24 Czechia Cup | FK Kozlovice | 1-0 HT 1-0 | SFK Holesov |
| 12/06/24 Czechia 4. Liga | SFK Holesov | 0-2 HT 0-0 | FK Kozlovice |
Standings · Czechia 4. Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Bohumin | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Hlucin | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Kravare | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Vratimov | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 15 |
| 5 | Jiskra Rymarov | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 13 |
| 6 | Opava B | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 13 |
| 7 | TJ Novy Jicin | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 13 |
| 8 | SK Stonava | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 11 |
| 9 | SK Zabreh | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| 10 | FK Sumperk | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 7 |
| 11 | Pusta Polom | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 7 |
| 12 | TJ Valasske Mezirici | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 6 |
| 13 | Bridlicna | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 4 |
| 14 | SSK Bilovec | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 4 |
| 15 | Frydek Mistek B | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 3 |
| 16 | Frydlant Nad Ostravici | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SFK Holesov | FK Kozlovice |
|---|---|---|
| Breclav | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| FC Brumov | 3-3 D | 5-0 W |
| SK Batov | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| SK Prostejov B | 2-2 D | 4-1 W |
| Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| FC Strani | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Bzenec | 0-2 L | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 6 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Kozlovice (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SFK Holesov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Hluk Czechia 4. Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Breclav Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | SK Krumvir Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | FC Brumov Czechia 4. Liga |
2-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | SK Batov Czechia 4. Liga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | SK Prostejov B Czechia 4. Liga |
2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B Czechia 4. Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 12/06 | FC Strani Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | SK Batov Czechia 4. Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 14 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Bzenec Czechia 4. Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
FK Kozlovice
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | FC Brumov Czechia 4. Liga |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 11/09 | SK Batov Czechia 4. Liga |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 06/09 | SK Prostejov B Czechia 4. Liga |
3-0 | 4-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B Czechia 4. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Sternberk Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 14/08 | FC Strani Czechia 4. Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | Bzenec Czechia 4. Liga |
3-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 10/06 | Breclav Czechia 4. Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | TJ Skastice Czechia 4. Liga |
3-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 03/06 | Sternberk Czechia 4. Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SFK Holesov vs FK Kozlovice?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Kozlovice win (45%). Probabilities: SFK Holesov 31%, draw 24%, FK Kozlovice 45%.
How many goals are expected in SFK Holesov vs FK Kozlovice?
The model expects 3.42 goals (SFK Holesov 1.54 · FK Kozlovice 1.88), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in SFK Holesov vs FK Kozlovice?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.