Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 26/09, 15:00

Prediction: Sternberk vs Bzenec

Team pages: Sternberk · Bzenec

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.06Total

Sternberk2.26

Bzenec1.79

1X2

48% 21% 30%

Sternberk Draw Bzenec

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Sternberk 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLDLWWLL

Bzenec 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Sternberk 0–1–5 Bzenec (6 last)

Bzenec3-1Sternberk
Sternberk2-5Bzenec
Bzenec4-0Sternberk
Sternberk0-1Bzenec
Sternberk1-1Bzenec
Bzenec4-0Sternberk

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Bzenec: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sternberk	Bzenec
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.2	1.5 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.2	0.7 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.8	3.8 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.5	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.84

Under 3.51.87

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:43

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.59 → 1.59	Pinn 1.59
X	4.05 → 4.05	Pinn 4.05
2	3.98 → 3.98	Pinn 3.98

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:11 +92’	1.59	4.05	3.98

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sternberk 0–1–5 Bzenec

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Bzenec	3-1 HT 2-1	Sternberk
13/09/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Sternberk	2-5 HT 2-3	Bzenec
18/04/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Bzenec	4-0 HT 2-0	Sternberk
16/11/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Sternberk	0-1 HT 0-1	Bzenec
30/03/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Sternberk	1-1 HT 0-0	Bzenec
26/08/23 Czechia 4. Liga	Bzenec	4-0 HT 1-0	Sternberk

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	7	7	0	0	27	7	21
2	Hlucin	7	6	0	1	18	7	18
3	Kravare	7	5	1	1	19	11	16
4	FC Vratimov	7	5	0	2	14	9	15
5	Jiskra Rymarov	7	4	1	2	18	10	13
6	Opava B	7	4	1	2	16	12	13
7	TJ Novy Jicin	7	4	1	2	15	13	13
8	SK Stonava	7	3	2	2	12	10	11
9	SK Zabreh	7	3	1	3	8	8	10
10	FK Sumperk	7	2	1	4	10	12	7
11	Pusta Polom	7	2	1	4	9	14	7
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	7	1	3	3	12	17	6
13	Bridlicna	7	1	1	5	9	18	4
14	SSK Bilovec	7	1	1	5	4	15	4
15	Frydek Mistek B	7	1	0	6	11	18	3
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	7	0	0	7	7	28	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sternberk	Bzenec
Tatran Vsechovice	1-6 L	0-4 L
Slavicin	1-3 L	3-4 L
FK Nove Sady	6-0 W	4-2 W
TJ Sokol Lanzhot	4-1 W	0-3 L
FK Kozlovice	0-1 L	1-5 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Sternberk (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sternberk

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Tatran Vsechovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	1-6	–	–	L
12/09	Slavicin Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
05/09	FK Nove Sady Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	6-0	8	3	W
29/08	TJ Sokol Lanzhot Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	4-1	–	–	W
23/08	FK Kozlovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
15/08	Hluk Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
08/08	Breclav Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-3	6	6	L
03/06	FK Kozlovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	3	5	L
30/05	Breclav Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-2	5	7	L
24/05	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	5-2	5	2	W

Bzenec

WLDLLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	FC Strani Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	3-6	2	5	L
12/09	SK Krumvir Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	9	7	L
05/09	Tatran Vsechovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-4	–	–	L
29/08	Slavicin Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	3-4	6	4	L
22/08	FK Nove Sady Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	4-2	10	2	W
16/08	TJ Sokol Lanzhot Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
09/08	FK Kozlovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	1-5	1	2	L
12/06	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
07/06	Slavicin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
30/05	SFK Holesov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sternberk vs Bzenec?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sternberk win (48%). Probabilities: Sternberk 48%, draw 21%, Bzenec 30%.

How many goals are expected in Sternberk vs Bzenec?

The model expects 4.06 goals (Sternberk 2.26 · Bzenec 1.79), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sternberk vs Bzenec?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.