Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 25/09, 18:00

Prediction: SK Batov vs FK Nove Sady

Team pages: SK Batov · FK Nove Sady

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.7Total

SK Batov1.91

FK Nove Sady1.79

1X2

40% 24% 36%

SK Batov Draw FK Nove Sady

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Batov 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLLLLL

FK Nove Sady 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

DDLLLLLLLD

Head-to-head

SK Batov 1–4–1 FK Nove Sady (6 last)

FK Nove Sady0-2SK Batov
SK Batov1-1FK Nove Sady
FK Nove Sady1-1SK Batov
SK Batov1-2FK Nove Sady
SK Batov3-3FK Nove Sady
FK Nove Sady1-1SK Batov

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Batov 1432 · FK Nove Sady 1378

	SK Batov	Draw	FK Nove Sady
Our model	41%	23%	36%
Market	40%	25%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.7 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Batov (rating 1432 vs 1378).
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Batov	FK Nove Sady
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.4	1 / 3.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	0.6 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 3.6	1.2 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.60

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 1.15 · xG: 4.15

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 07:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.75 → 3.60▼	Bet365 3.60
2	2.88 → 2.90▲	Pinn 2.96 ★

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 15.1%

Time*	1	X	2
00:53 +12’	2.00	3.75	2.88
01:39 +27’	1.80▼	3.90▲	3.30▲
13:04 +5’	2.25▲	3.60▼	2.55▼
06:55 +11’	2.00▼	3.60	2.90▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:02 +3’	1.95	3.32	2.96

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 8 odds moves recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Batov 1–4–1 FK Nove Sady

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/04/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Nove Sady	0-2 HT 0-0	SK Batov
17/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Batov	1-1 HT 1-1	FK Nove Sady
18/04/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Nove Sady	1-1 HT 0-1	SK Batov
16/10/24 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Batov	1-2 HT 0-1	FK Nove Sady
22/03/24 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Batov	3-3 HT 1-0	FK Nove Sady
19/08/23 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Nove Sady	1-1 HT 1-0	SK Batov

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	7	7	0	0	27	7	21
2	Hlucin	7	6	0	1	18	7	18
3	Kravare	7	5	1	1	19	11	16
4	FC Vratimov	7	5	0	2	14	9	15
5	Jiskra Rymarov	7	4	1	2	18	10	13
6	Opava B	7	4	1	2	16	12	13
7	TJ Novy Jicin	7	4	1	2	15	13	13
8	SK Stonava	7	3	2	2	12	10	11
9	SK Zabreh	7	3	1	3	8	8	10
10	FK Sumperk	7	2	1	4	10	12	7
11	Pusta Polom	7	2	1	4	9	14	7
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	7	1	3	3	12	17	6
13	Bridlicna	7	1	1	5	9	18	4
14	SSK Bilovec	7	1	1	5	4	15	4
15	Frydek Mistek B	7	1	0	6	11	18	3
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	7	0	0	7	7	28	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Batov	FK Nove Sady
TJ Sokol Lanzhot	0-1 L	1-1 D
Slavicin	4-2 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Batov

WLWLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	TJ Sokol Lanzhot Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	6	1	L
11/09	FK Kozlovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-3	1	7	L
05/09	Hluk Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-6	–	–	L
29/08	Breclav Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
22/08	SFK Holesov Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-3	3	2	L
15/08	FC Brumov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
08/08	SK Krumvir Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	2	0	L
12/06	Slavicin Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-2	3	2	W
06/06	SFK Holesov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-3	4	4	L
30/05	TJ Sokol Lanzhot Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-0	6	1	W

FK Nove Sady

DDLLLLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	SK Prostejov B Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
13/09	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	8	5	L
05/09	Sternberk Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-6	3	3	L
28/08	FC Strani Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-9	1	0	L
22/08	Bzenec Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-4	3	2	L
16/08	Tatran Vsechovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-4	1-6	2	3	L
08/08	Slavicin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	0	3	L
13/06	TJ Skastice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	7	4	L
05/06	CSK Uhersky Brod Czechia 4. Liga	3-2	4-4	1	5	D
02/06	TJ Sokol Lanzhot Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Batov vs FK Nove Sady?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Batov win (40%). Probabilities: SK Batov 40%, draw 24%, FK Nove Sady 36%.

How many goals are expected in SK Batov vs FK Nove Sady?

The model expects 3.7 goals (SK Batov 1.91 · FK Nove Sady 1.79), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Batov vs FK Nove Sady?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.