Football · Japan Football League · 07/11, 05:00
Prediction: Honda FC vs Verspah Oita
Team pages: Honda FC · Verspah Oita
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
Honda FC1.44
Verspah Oita1.15
1X2
Honda FC
Draw
Verspah Oita
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Honda FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Verspah Oita
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Honda FC
2–3–1
Verspah Oita
(6 last)
- Honda FC4-2Verspah Oita
- Verspah Oita2-1Honda FC
- Honda FC0-0Verspah Oita
- Honda FC0-0Verspah Oita
- Verspah Oita0-0Honda FC
- Verspah Oita2-3Honda FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Honda FC 1519 · Verspah Oita 1526
| Honda FC | Draw | Verspah Oita | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 29% | 29% |
| Market | 44% | 26% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Honda FC: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Honda FC | Verspah Oita | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 1.4 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.2 / 6.5 | 1.9 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 2.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Honda FC 2–3–1 Verspah Oita
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Japan JFL Cup | Honda FC | 4-2 HT 0-2 | Verspah Oita |
| 19/07/25 Japan Football League | Verspah Oita | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Honda FC |
| 15/03/25 Japan Football League | Honda FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Verspah Oita |
| 12/10/24 Japan Football League | Honda FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Verspah Oita |
| 24/03/24 Japan Football League | Verspah Oita | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Honda FC |
| 17/09/23 Japan Football League | Verspah Oita | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Honda FC |
Standings · Japan Football League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criacao Shinjuku | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 23 |
| 2 | Verspah Oita | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Vonds Ichihara | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Honda FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 17 |
| 5 | Azul Claro Numazu | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | Reinmeer Aomori | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
| 7 | YSCC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 16 |
| 8 | Okinawa SV | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 14 |
| 9 | Veertien Mie | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 14 |
| 10 | Briobecca Urayasu SC | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 13 |
| 11 | Minebea Mitsumi | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 13 |
| 12 | J-Lease FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | Grulla Morioka FC | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 11 |
| 14 | Maruyasu Okazaki | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 6 |
| 15 | FC Tiamo Hirakata | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 5 |
| 16 | Yokogawa Musashino FC | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Honda FC | Verspah Oita |
|---|---|---|
| Briobecca Urayasu SC | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Maruyasu Okazaki | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Grulla Morioka FC | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Minebea Mitsumi | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Reinmeer Aomori | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Veertien Mie | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| J-Lease FC | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 5 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Verspah Oita (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Honda FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Briobecca Urayasu SC Japan Football League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/10 | Okinawa SV Japan Football League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 14 | 3 | D |
| 17/10 | Maruyasu Okazaki Japan Football League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | Grulla Morioka FC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 03/10 | Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 27/09 | YSCC Japan Football League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Reinmeer Aomori Japan Football League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Vonds Ichihara Japan Football League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 05/09 | Veertien Mie Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | J-Lease FC Japan Football League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Verspah Oita
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Yokogawa Musashino FC Japan Football League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 24/10 | Reinmeer Aomori Japan Football League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 18/10 | Criacao Shinjuku Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 11/10 | Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 03/10 | Veertien Mie Japan Football League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 27/09 | Azul Claro Numazu Japan Football League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 19/09 | J-Lease FC Japan Football League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Briobecca Urayasu SC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Grulla Morioka FC Japan Football League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Maruyasu Okazaki Japan Football League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Honda FC vs Verspah Oita?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Honda FC win (43%). Probabilities: Honda FC 43%, draw 27%, Verspah Oita 29%.
How many goals are expected in Honda FC vs Verspah Oita?
The model expects 2.59 goals (Honda FC 1.44 · Verspah Oita 1.15), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Honda FC vs Verspah Oita?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.