Football · Japan Football League · 15/11, 05:00

Prediction: YSCC vs Verspah Oita

Team pages: YSCC · Verspah Oita

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

YSCC1.23

Verspah Oita1.79

1X2

25% 25% 50%

YSCC Draw Verspah Oita

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

YSCC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWLDWD

Verspah Oita 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDWDLWLWDL

Head-to-head

YSCC 0–2 Verspah Oita (2 last)

YSCC1-2Verspah Oita
Verspah Oita3-2YSCC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · YSCC 1505 · Verspah Oita 1512

	YSCC	Draw	Verspah Oita
Our model	25%	25%	49%
Market	26%	25%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Verspah Oita: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	YSCC	Verspah Oita
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2	1.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.7	1.8 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.50

X3.60

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.80 → 1.80	Pinn 2.24 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 9.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:25 +47’	3.50	3.60	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:12 +1’	2.78	3.27	2.21
16:08 +3’	2.83▲	3.35▲	2.24▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · YSCC 0–0–2 Verspah Oita

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
21/09/25 Japan Football League	YSCC	1-2 HT 0-1	Verspah Oita
05/04/25 Japan Football League	Verspah Oita	3-2 HT 2-1	YSCC

Standings · Japan Football League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Criacao Shinjuku	11	7	2	2	12	8	23
2	Honda FC	11	6	2	3	12	11	20
3	Verspah Oita	11	5	3	3	14	11	18
3	Vonds Ichihara	11	5	3	3	14	11	18
5	Azul Claro Numazu	10	4	5	1	16	10	17
6	Okinawa SV	11	4	5	2	15	10	17
7	YSCC	11	5	2	4	20	20	17
8	Reinmeer Aomori	11	5	2	4	12	12	17
9	Briobecca Urayasu SC	11	5	1	5	16	16	16
10	Veertien Mie	11	4	3	4	16	14	15
11	Minebea Mitsumi	11	4	2	5	11	15	14
12	J-Lease FC	11	3	3	5	15	15	12
13	Grulla Morioka FC	11	2	5	4	11	14	11
14	FC Tiamo Hirakata	10	2	3	5	12	20	9
15	Yokogawa Musashino FC	11	2	2	7	16	17	8
16	Maruyasu Okazaki	11	2	1	8	12	20	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	YSCC	Verspah Oita
J-Lease FC	3-2 W	2-1 W
Grulla Morioka FC	2-2 D	3-1 W
Reinmeer Aomori	0-2 L	2-0 W
Criacao Shinjuku	1-4 L	0-1 L
Honda FC	0-1 L	0-1 L
Briobecca Urayasu SC	5-2 W	0-0 D
Minebea Mitsumi	1-2 L	3-1 W
Yokogawa Musashino FC	3-2 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Verspah Oita (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

YSCC

WLWLLWLDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Vonds Ichihara Japan Football League	1-1	2-2	4	0	D
01/11	J-Lease FC Japan Football League	2-2	3-2	5	1	W
25/10	Grulla Morioka FC Japan Football League	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
17/10	Reinmeer Aomori Japan Football League	0-0	0-2	8	4	L
10/10	Maruyasu Okazaki Japan Football League	1-1	2-1	4	4	W
04/10	Criacao Shinjuku Japan Football League	0-1	1-4	7	0	L
27/09	Honda FC Japan Football League	0-1	0-1	2	2	L
20/09	Briobecca Urayasu SC Japan Football League	3-0	5-2	1	2	W
13/09	Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League	0-0	1-2	6	2	L
05/09	Yokogawa Musashino FC Japan Football League	1-1	3-2	5	1	W

Verspah Oita

WDWDLWLWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Honda FC Japan Football League	0-0	0-1	1	6	L
31/10	Yokogawa Musashino FC Japan Football League	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
24/10	Reinmeer Aomori Japan Football League	0-0	2-0	4	2	W
18/10	Criacao Shinjuku Japan Football League	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
11/10	Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League	2-0	3-1	3	2	W
03/10	Veertien Mie Japan Football League	0-1	0-3	1	1	L
27/09	Azul Claro Numazu Japan Football League	0-1	1-1	12	5	D
19/09	J-Lease FC Japan Football League	1-0	2-1	0	2	W
13/09	Briobecca Urayasu SC Japan Football League	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
05/09	Grulla Morioka FC Japan Football League	0-1	3-1	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in YSCC vs Verspah Oita?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Verspah Oita win (50%). Probabilities: YSCC 25%, draw 25%, Verspah Oita 50%.

How many goals are expected in YSCC vs Verspah Oita?

The model expects 3.02 goals (YSCC 1.23 · Verspah Oita 1.79), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in YSCC vs Verspah Oita?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.