Football · Japan Football League · 14/11, 05:00
Prediction: Criacao Shinjuku vs Briobecca Urayasu SC
Team pages: Criacao Shinjuku · Briobecca Urayasu SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Criacao Shinjuku1.2
Briobecca Urayasu SC1.12
1X2
Criacao Shinjuku
Draw
Briobecca Urayasu SC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Criacao Shinjuku
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Briobecca Urayasu SC
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Criacao Shinjuku
0–1–5
Briobecca Urayasu SC
(6 last)
- Briobecca Urayasu SC1-1Criacao Shinjuku
- Criacao Shinjuku0-1Briobecca Urayasu SC
- Briobecca Urayasu SC1-0Criacao Shinjuku
- Criacao Shinjuku0-1Briobecca Urayasu SC
- Briobecca Urayasu SC5-1Criacao Shinjuku
- Briobecca Urayasu SC1-0Criacao Shinjuku
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Criacao Shinjuku 1541 · Briobecca Urayasu SC 1529
| Criacao Shinjuku | Draw | Briobecca Urayasu SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 31% | 33% |
| Market | 38% | 28% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Briobecca Urayasu SC: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Criacao Shinjuku | Briobecca Urayasu SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 1.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.5 | 2.6 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0.3 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Criacao Shinjuku 0–1–5 Briobecca Urayasu SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Japan JFL Cup | Briobecca Urayasu SC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Criacao Shinjuku |
| 19/07/25 Japan Football League | Criacao Shinjuku | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Briobecca Urayasu SC |
| 16/03/25 Japan Football League | Briobecca Urayasu SC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Criacao Shinjuku |
| 19/10/24 Japan Football League | Criacao Shinjuku | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Briobecca Urayasu SC |
| 18/08/24 Japan Football League | Briobecca Urayasu SC | 5-1 HT 2-0 | Criacao Shinjuku |
| 23/09/23 Japan Football League | Briobecca Urayasu SC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Criacao Shinjuku |
Standings · Japan Football League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criacao Shinjuku | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | Honda FC | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 | Verspah Oita | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | Vonds Ichihara | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 18 |
| 5 | Azul Claro Numazu | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | Okinawa SV | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | YSCC | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 17 |
| 8 | Reinmeer Aomori | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | Briobecca Urayasu SC | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
| 10 | Veertien Mie | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 15 |
| 11 | Minebea Mitsumi | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 14 |
| 12 | J-Lease FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 12 |
| 13 | Grulla Morioka FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 11 |
| 14 | FC Tiamo Hirakata | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 9 |
| 15 | Yokogawa Musashino FC | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 17 | 8 |
| 16 | Maruyasu Okazaki | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Criacao Shinjuku | Briobecca Urayasu SC |
|---|---|---|
| Verspah Oita | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Reinmeer Aomori | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| YSCC | 4-1 W | 2-5 L |
| Okinawa SV | 0-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Azul Claro Numazu | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Maruyasu Okazaki | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Criacao Shinjuku (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Criacao Shinjuku
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | FC Tiamo Hirakata Japan Football League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 01/11 | Grulla Morioka FC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 24/10 | Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 18/10 | Verspah Oita Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/10 | Reinmeer Aomori Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | YSCC Japan Football League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 27/09 | Okinawa SV Japan Football League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 19/09 | Azul Claro Numazu Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | Maruyasu Okazaki Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 05/09 | Vonds Ichihara Japan Football League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Briobecca Urayasu SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Reinmeer Aomori Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 31/10 | Honda FC Japan Football League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 24/10 | Maruyasu Okazaki Japan Football League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 17/10 | Yokogawa Musashino FC Japan Football League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 11/10 | Veertien Mie Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 04/10 | Okinawa SV Japan Football League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/09 | J-Lease FC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | YSCC Japan Football League |
0-3 | 2-5 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Verspah Oita Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Azul Claro Numazu Japan Football League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Criacao Shinjuku vs Briobecca Urayasu SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Criacao Shinjuku win (37%). Probabilities: Criacao Shinjuku 37%, draw 29%, Briobecca Urayasu SC 33%.
How many goals are expected in Criacao Shinjuku vs Briobecca Urayasu SC?
The model expects 2.32 goals (Criacao Shinjuku 1.2 · Briobecca Urayasu SC 1.12), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Criacao Shinjuku vs Briobecca Urayasu SC?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.