Football · Japan Football League · 15/11, 05:00

Prediction: Veertien Mie vs Grulla Morioka FC

Team pages: Veertien Mie · Grulla Morioka FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

Veertien Mie1.68

Grulla Morioka FC1.01

1X2

52% 26% 22%

Veertien Mie Draw Grulla Morioka FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Veertien Mie 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Grulla Morioka FC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Veertien Mie 0–1–1 Grulla Morioka FC (2 last)

Grulla Morioka FC2-0Veertien Mie
Veertien Mie1-1Grulla Morioka FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Veertien Mie 1515 · Grulla Morioka FC 1477

	Veertien Mie	Draw	Grulla Morioka FC
Our model	52%	27%	22%
Market	53%	25%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Veertien Mie	Grulla Morioka FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.1	1.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.6	1.9 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.2	2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.60

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Pinn 1.93 ★
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
14:11	1.70	3.60	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:08 +3’	1.93	3.46	3.43

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Veertien Mie 0–1–1 Grulla Morioka FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/07/25 Japan Football League	Grulla Morioka FC	2-0 HT 2-0	Veertien Mie
09/03/25 Japan Football League	Veertien Mie	1-1	Grulla Morioka FC

Standings · Japan Football League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Criacao Shinjuku	11	7	2	2	12	8	23
2	Honda FC	11	6	2	3	12	11	20
3	Verspah Oita	11	5	3	3	14	11	18
3	Vonds Ichihara	11	5	3	3	14	11	18
5	Azul Claro Numazu	10	4	5	1	16	10	17
6	Okinawa SV	11	4	5	2	15	10	17
7	YSCC	11	5	2	4	20	20	17
8	Reinmeer Aomori	11	5	2	4	12	12	17
9	Briobecca Urayasu SC	11	5	1	5	16	16	16
10	Veertien Mie	11	4	3	4	16	14	15
11	Minebea Mitsumi	11	4	2	5	11	15	14
12	J-Lease FC	11	3	3	5	15	15	12
13	Grulla Morioka FC	11	2	5	4	11	14	11
14	FC Tiamo Hirakata	10	2	3	5	12	20	9
15	Yokogawa Musashino FC	11	2	2	7	16	17	8
16	Maruyasu Okazaki	11	2	1	8	12	20	7

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Veertien Mie	Grulla Morioka FC
Maruyasu Okazaki	1-1 D	1-2 L
Okinawa SV	1-1 D	0-1 L
Azul Claro Numazu	2-2 D	1-1 D
Verspah Oita	3-0 W	1-3 L
Minebea Mitsumi	1-0 W	2-1 W
FC Tiamo Hirakata	2-3 L	2-1 W
Honda FC	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Veertien Mie (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Veertien Mie

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Maruyasu Okazaki Japan Football League	1-0	1-1	9	5	D
01/11	Okinawa SV Japan Football League	1-0	1-1	0	5	D
24/10	J-Lease FC Japan Football League	1-0	1-3	3	2	L
17/10	Azul Claro Numazu Japan Football League	0-1	2-2	7	4	D
11/10	Briobecca Urayasu SC Japan Football League	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
03/10	Verspah Oita Japan Football League	1-0	3-0	6	1	W
26/09	Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League	0-0	1-0	7	1	W
19/09	Yokogawa Musashino FC Japan Football League	2-0	3-0	3	3	W
12/09	FC Tiamo Hirakata Japan Football League	1-2	2-3	6	6	L
05/09	Honda FC Japan Football League	0-0	0-1	3	4	L

Grulla Morioka FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Okinawa SV Japan Football League	0-1	0-1	5	1	L
01/11	Criacao Shinjuku Japan Football League	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
25/10	YSCC Japan Football League	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
18/10	FC Tiamo Hirakata Japan Football League	2-1	2-1	4	2	W
11/10	Honda FC Japan Football League	0-0	1-1	0	1	D
03/10	Vonds Ichihara Japan Football League	0-1	0-1	5	1	L
27/09	Maruyasu Okazaki Japan Football League	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
19/09	Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
13/09	Azul Claro Numazu Japan Football League	1-0	1-1	9	1	D
05/09	Verspah Oita Japan Football League	1-0	1-3	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Veertien Mie vs Grulla Morioka FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Veertien Mie win (52%). Probabilities: Veertien Mie 52%, draw 26%, Grulla Morioka FC 22%.

How many goals are expected in Veertien Mie vs Grulla Morioka FC?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Veertien Mie 1.68 · Grulla Morioka FC 1.01), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Veertien Mie vs Grulla Morioka FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.