Football · Japan Football League · 07/11, 05:00

Prediction: Vonds Ichihara vs YSCC

Team pages: YSCC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

Vonds Ichihara1.53

YSCC1.14

1X2

46% 27% 28%

Vonds Ichihara Draw YSCC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Vonds Ichihara 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWDWWDWL

YSCC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLWLDW

Head-to-head

Vonds Ichihara 0–1 YSCC (1 last)

Vonds Ichihara0-1YSCC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vonds Ichihara 1518 · YSCC 1512

	Vonds Ichihara	Draw	YSCC
Our model	45%	28%	27%
Market	46%	26%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vonds Ichihara	YSCC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.9	1.8 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5	1.9 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.6 / 0.1	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.50

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.02

2 (+0.5)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 2.00 ★
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:11 +5’	1.95	3.50	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:11 +5’	2.00	3.37	3.11

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vonds Ichihara 0–0–1 YSCC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Japan JFL Cup	Vonds Ichihara	0-1 HT 0-0	YSCC

Standings · Japan Football League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Criacao Shinjuku	10	7	2	1	12	6	23
2	Verspah Oita	10	5	3	2	14	10	18
3	Vonds Ichihara	10	5	2	3	12	9	17
4	Honda FC	10	5	2	3	11	11	17
5	Azul Claro Numazu	9	4	4	1	15	9	16
6	Reinmeer Aomori	9	5	1	3	10	9	16
7	YSCC	10	5	1	4	18	18	16
8	Okinawa SV	10	3	5	2	14	10	14
9	Veertien Mie	10	4	2	4	15	13	14
10	Briobecca Urayasu SC	10	4	1	5	15	16	13
11	Minebea Mitsumi	10	4	1	5	10	14	13
12	J-Lease FC	9	3	2	4	14	11	11
13	Grulla Morioka FC	10	2	5	3	11	13	11
14	Maruyasu Okazaki	10	2	0	8	11	19	6
15	FC Tiamo Hirakata	8	1	2	5	8	18	5
16	Yokogawa Musashino FC	9	1	1	7	12	16	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vonds Ichihara	YSCC
Minebea Mitsumi	0-1 L	1-2 L
Yokogawa Musashino FC	2-1 W	3-2 W
Grulla Morioka FC	1-0 W	2-2 D
FC Tiamo Hirakata	1-1 D	1-0 W
Maruyasu Okazaki	1-0 W	2-1 W
Honda FC	1-2 L	0-1 L
Criacao Shinjuku	0-1 L	1-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Vonds Ichihara (2 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vonds Ichihara

WLLWDWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
25/10	Yokogawa Musashino FC Japan Football League	0-0	2-1	4	3	W
17/10	Okinawa SV Japan Football League	0-0	1-1	3	0	D
10/10	Azul Claro Numazu Japan Football League	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
03/10	Grulla Morioka FC Japan Football League	1-0	1-0	5	1	W
26/09	FC Tiamo Hirakata Japan Football League	1-0	1-1	7	1	D
19/09	Maruyasu Okazaki Japan Football League	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
12/09	Honda FC Japan Football League	0-2	1-2	6	1	L
05/09	Criacao Shinjuku Japan Football League	0-1	0-1	3	2	L
29/08	Veertien Mie Japan Football League	2-0	3-1	4	1	W

YSCC

WWLWLLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	J-Lease FC Japan Football League	2-2	3-2	5	1	W
25/10	Grulla Morioka FC Japan Football League	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
17/10	Reinmeer Aomori Japan Football League	0-0	0-2	8	4	L
10/10	Maruyasu Okazaki Japan Football League	1-1	2-1	4	4	W
04/10	Criacao Shinjuku Japan Football League	0-1	1-4	7	0	L
27/09	Honda FC Japan Football League	0-1	0-1	2	2	L
20/09	Briobecca Urayasu SC Japan Football League	3-0	5-2	1	2	W
13/09	Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League	0-0	1-2	6	2	L
05/09	Yokogawa Musashino FC Japan Football League	1-1	3-2	5	1	W
30/08	FC Tiamo Hirakata Japan Football League	1-0	1-0	1	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vonds Ichihara vs YSCC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vonds Ichihara win (46%). Probabilities: Vonds Ichihara 46%, draw 27%, YSCC 28%.

How many goals are expected in Vonds Ichihara vs YSCC?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Vonds Ichihara 1.53 · YSCC 1.14), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Vonds Ichihara vs YSCC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.