Football · Japan Football League · 07/11, 05:00

Prediction: Grulla Morioka FC vs Okinawa SV

Team pages: Grulla Morioka FC · Okinawa SV

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

Grulla Morioka FC1.2

Okinawa SV1.43

1X2

31% 27% 42%

Grulla Morioka FC Draw Okinawa SV

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Grulla Morioka FC 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DLDWLLDWDD

Okinawa SV 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

LDWWWLDDDD

Head-to-head

Grulla Morioka FC 0–2 Okinawa SV (2 last)

Okinawa SV5-1Grulla Morioka FC
Grulla Morioka FC1-2Okinawa SV

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Grulla Morioka FC 1493 · Okinawa SV 1515

	Grulla Morioka FC	Draw	Okinawa SV
Our model	30%	28%	41%
Market	32%	26%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Okinawa SV: 2-0-0.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Grulla Morioka FC	Okinawa SV
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.3	1.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.7	3.4 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0.2	2.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.50

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:11 +5’	2.80	3.50	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Grulla Morioka FC 0–0–2 Okinawa SV

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
27/09/25 Japan Football League	Okinawa SV	5-1 HT 4-1	Grulla Morioka FC
30/03/25 Japan Football League	Grulla Morioka FC	1-2 HT 0-1	Okinawa SV

Standings · Japan Football League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Criacao Shinjuku	10	7	2	1	12	6	23
2	Verspah Oita	10	5	3	2	14	10	18
3	Vonds Ichihara	10	5	2	3	12	9	17
4	Honda FC	10	5	2	3	11	11	17
5	Azul Claro Numazu	9	4	4	1	15	9	16
6	Reinmeer Aomori	9	5	1	3	10	9	16
7	YSCC	10	5	1	4	18	18	16
8	Okinawa SV	10	3	5	2	14	10	14
9	Veertien Mie	10	4	2	4	15	13	14
10	Briobecca Urayasu SC	10	4	1	5	15	16	13
11	Minebea Mitsumi	10	4	1	5	10	14	13
12	J-Lease FC	9	3	2	4	14	11	11
13	Grulla Morioka FC	10	2	5	3	11	13	11
14	Maruyasu Okazaki	10	2	0	8	11	19	6
15	FC Tiamo Hirakata	8	1	2	5	8	18	5
16	Yokogawa Musashino FC	9	1	1	7	12	16	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Grulla Morioka FC	Okinawa SV
Criacao Shinjuku	1-1 D	3-0 W
FC Tiamo Hirakata	2-1 W	2-1 W
Honda FC	1-1 D	1-1 D
Vonds Ichihara	0-1 L	1-1 D
Minebea Mitsumi	2-1 W	1-1 D
Azul Claro Numazu	1-1 D	1-2 L
Reinmeer Aomori	0-0 D	4-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 1 L	3 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Okinawa SV (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Grulla Morioka FC

DLDWLLDWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Criacao Shinjuku Japan Football League	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
25/10	YSCC Japan Football League	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
18/10	FC Tiamo Hirakata Japan Football League	2-1	2-1	4	2	W
11/10	Honda FC Japan Football League	0-0	1-1	0	1	D
03/10	Vonds Ichihara Japan Football League	0-1	0-1	5	1	L
27/09	Maruyasu Okazaki Japan Football League	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
19/09	Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
13/09	Azul Claro Numazu Japan Football League	1-0	1-1	9	1	D
05/09	Verspah Oita Japan Football League	1-0	1-3	5	3	L
29/08	Reinmeer Aomori Japan Football League	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Okinawa SV

LDWWWLDDDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Veertien Mie Japan Football League	0-1	1-1	8	5	D
24/10	Honda FC Japan Football League	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
17/10	Vonds Ichihara Japan Football League	0-0	1-1	6	0	D
10/10	J-Lease FC Japan Football League	0-0	0-0	10	3	D
04/10	Briobecca Urayasu SC Japan Football League	0-2	0-2	11	5	L
27/09	Criacao Shinjuku Japan Football League	2-0	3-0	0	0	W
21/09	FC Tiamo Hirakata Japan Football League	0-1	2-1	7	2	W
12/09	Reinmeer Aomori Japan Football League	1-0	4-1	–	–	W
05/09	Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League	0-1	1-1	10	3	D
31/08	Azul Claro Numazu Japan Football League	1-1	1-2	8	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Grulla Morioka FC vs Okinawa SV?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Okinawa SV win (42%). Probabilities: Grulla Morioka FC 31%, draw 27%, Okinawa SV 42%.

How many goals are expected in Grulla Morioka FC vs Okinawa SV?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Grulla Morioka FC 1.2 · Okinawa SV 1.43), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Grulla Morioka FC vs Okinawa SV?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.