Football · Japan Football League · 07/11, 05:00
Prediction: Maruyasu Okazaki vs Veertien Mie
Team pages: Maruyasu Okazaki · Veertien Mie
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
Maruyasu Okazaki1.08
Veertien Mie1.69
1X2
Maruyasu Okazaki
Draw
Veertien Mie
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Maruyasu Okazaki
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Veertien Mie
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Maruyasu Okazaki
2–1–3
Veertien Mie
(6 last)
- Veertien Mie0-2Maruyasu Okazaki
- Maruyasu Okazaki0-1Veertien Mie
- Veertien Mie0-2Maruyasu Okazaki
- Veertien Mie1-0Maruyasu Okazaki
- Maruyasu Okazaki1-2Veertien Mie
- Veertien Mie1-1Maruyasu Okazaki
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maruyasu Okazaki 1441 · Veertien Mie 1491
| Maruyasu Okazaki | Draw | Veertien Mie | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 26% | 51% |
| Market | 24% | 25% | 51% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Veertien Mie (rating 1441 vs 1491).
- H2H favours Veertien Mie: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maruyasu Okazaki | Veertien Mie | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.9 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.7 | 1.5 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maruyasu Okazaki 2–1–3 Veertien Mie
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Japan JFL Cup | Veertien Mie | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Maruyasu Okazaki |
| 20/09/25 Japan Football League | Maruyasu Okazaki | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Veertien Mie |
| 06/04/25 Japan Football League | Veertien Mie | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Maruyasu Okazaki |
| 28/09/24 Japan Football League | Veertien Mie | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Maruyasu Okazaki |
| 06/04/24 Japan Football League | Maruyasu Okazaki | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Veertien Mie |
| 22/07/23 Japan Football League | Veertien Mie | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Maruyasu Okazaki |
Standings · Japan Football League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criacao Shinjuku | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 23 |
| 2 | Verspah Oita | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Vonds Ichihara | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Honda FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 17 |
| 5 | Azul Claro Numazu | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | Reinmeer Aomori | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
| 7 | YSCC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 16 |
| 8 | Okinawa SV | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 14 |
| 9 | Veertien Mie | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 14 |
| 10 | Briobecca Urayasu SC | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 13 |
| 11 | Minebea Mitsumi | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 13 |
| 12 | J-Lease FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | Grulla Morioka FC | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 11 |
| 14 | Maruyasu Okazaki | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 6 |
| 15 | FC Tiamo Hirakata | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 5 |
| 16 | Yokogawa Musashino FC | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maruyasu Okazaki | Veertien Mie |
|---|---|---|
| Azul Claro Numazu | 1-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Briobecca Urayasu SC | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Honda FC | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Vonds Ichihara | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| FC Tiamo Hirakata | 3-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Verspah Oita | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Veertien Mie (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maruyasu Okazaki
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Azul Claro Numazu Japan Football League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 24/10 | Briobecca Urayasu SC Japan Football League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 17/10 | Honda FC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | YSCC Japan Football League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/10 | Reinmeer Aomori Japan Football League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 27/09 | Grulla Morioka FC Japan Football League |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | Vonds Ichihara Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Criacao Shinjuku Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | FC Tiamo Hirakata Japan Football League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Verspah Oita Japan Football League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | L |
Veertien Mie
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Okinawa SV Japan Football League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 24/10 | J-Lease FC Japan Football League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 17/10 | Azul Claro Numazu Japan Football League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 11/10 | Briobecca Urayasu SC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 03/10 | Verspah Oita Japan Football League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 26/09 | Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 19/09 | Yokogawa Musashino FC Japan Football League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | FC Tiamo Hirakata Japan Football League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Honda FC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Vonds Ichihara Japan Football League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maruyasu Okazaki vs Veertien Mie?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Veertien Mie win (51%). Probabilities: Maruyasu Okazaki 23%, draw 26%, Veertien Mie 51%.
How many goals are expected in Maruyasu Okazaki vs Veertien Mie?
The model expects 2.77 goals (Maruyasu Okazaki 1.08 · Veertien Mie 1.69), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Maruyasu Okazaki vs Veertien Mie?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.