Football · Japan Football League · 08/11, 05:00
Prediction: FC Tiamo Hirakata vs Criacao Shinjuku
Team pages: FC Tiamo Hirakata · Criacao Shinjuku
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
FC Tiamo Hirakata1.45
Criacao Shinjuku1.37
1X2
FC Tiamo Hirakata
Draw
Criacao Shinjuku
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Tiamo Hirakata
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Criacao Shinjuku
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Tiamo Hirakata
2–2–2
Criacao Shinjuku
(6 last)
- Criacao Shinjuku3-2FC Tiamo Hirakata
- FC Tiamo Hirakata1-0Criacao Shinjuku
- FC Tiamo Hirakata0-0Criacao Shinjuku
- Criacao Shinjuku1-4FC Tiamo Hirakata
- Criacao Shinjuku1-1FC Tiamo Hirakata
- FC Tiamo Hirakata2-4Criacao Shinjuku
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Tiamo Hirakata 1440 · Criacao Shinjuku 1569
| FC Tiamo Hirakata | Draw | Criacao Shinjuku | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 28% | 34% |
| Market | 39% | 26% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Criacao Shinjuku (rating 1440 vs 1569).
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Tiamo Hirakata | Criacao Shinjuku | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.1 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3.8 | 2.3 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Tiamo Hirakata 2–2–2 Criacao Shinjuku
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/25 Japan Football League | Criacao Shinjuku | 3-2 HT 0-0 | FC Tiamo Hirakata |
| 06/04/25 Japan Football League | FC Tiamo Hirakata | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Criacao Shinjuku |
| 21/09/24 Japan Football League | FC Tiamo Hirakata | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Criacao Shinjuku |
| 07/06/24 Japan Football League | Criacao Shinjuku | 1-4 HT 0-2 | FC Tiamo Hirakata |
| 30/07/23 Japan Football League | Criacao Shinjuku | 1-1 HT 1-0 | FC Tiamo Hirakata |
| 14/05/23 Japan Football League | FC Tiamo Hirakata | 2-4 HT 0-0 | Criacao Shinjuku |
Standings · Japan Football League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criacao Shinjuku | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 23 |
| 2 | Verspah Oita | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Vonds Ichihara | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Reinmeer Aomori | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 17 |
| 5 | Honda FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 17 |
| 6 | Azul Claro Numazu | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 16 |
| 7 | YSCC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 16 |
| 8 | Okinawa SV | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 14 |
| 9 | Veertien Mie | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 14 |
| 10 | Briobecca Urayasu SC | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 13 |
| 11 | Minebea Mitsumi | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 13 |
| 12 | J-Lease FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 11 |
| 13 | Grulla Morioka FC | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 11 |
| 14 | Yokogawa Musashino FC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 7 |
| 15 | Maruyasu Okazaki | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 6 |
| 16 | FC Tiamo Hirakata | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Tiamo Hirakata | Criacao Shinjuku |
|---|---|---|
| Reinmeer Aomori | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Grulla Morioka FC | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Yokogawa Musashino FC | 0-6 L | 1-0 W |
| Vonds Ichihara | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Okinawa SV | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Maruyasu Okazaki | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| YSCC | 0-1 L | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 5 L | 5 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Criacao Shinjuku (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Tiamo Hirakata
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Reinmeer Aomori Japan Football League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 18/10 | Grulla Morioka FC Japan Football League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 11/10 | Yokogawa Musashino FC Japan Football League |
0-4 | 0-6 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 04/10 | J-Lease FC Japan Football League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 26/09 | Vonds Ichihara Japan Football League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 21/09 | Okinawa SV Japan Football League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Veertien Mie Japan Football League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Maruyasu Okazaki Japan Football League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | YSCC Japan Football League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 23/11 | Reinmeer Aomori Japan Football League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
Criacao Shinjuku
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Grulla Morioka FC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 24/10 | Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 18/10 | Verspah Oita Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/10 | Reinmeer Aomori Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | YSCC Japan Football League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 27/09 | Okinawa SV Japan Football League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 19/09 | Azul Claro Numazu Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | Maruyasu Okazaki Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 05/09 | Vonds Ichihara Japan Football League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Yokogawa Musashino FC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Tiamo Hirakata vs Criacao Shinjuku?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Tiamo Hirakata win (38%). Probabilities: FC Tiamo Hirakata 38%, draw 27%, Criacao Shinjuku 35%.
How many goals are expected in FC Tiamo Hirakata vs Criacao Shinjuku?
The model expects 2.82 goals (FC Tiamo Hirakata 1.45 · Criacao Shinjuku 1.37), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Tiamo Hirakata vs Criacao Shinjuku?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.