Prediction: Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) vs Barcelona Guayaquil (W)
Expected goals: 3.04 (Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) 1.35 · Barcelona Guayaquil (W) 1.69). The model gives 30% home, 25% draw, 45% away. Over 2.75 goals (52%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) with 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Barcelona Guayaquil (W) has piled up 8-1-1 in the same span. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) won 0 and Barcelona Guayaquil (W) 2, with 1 draw.
| Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) | Draw | Barcelona Guayaquil (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 26% | 45% |
| Market | 30% | 25% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Barcelona Guayaquil (W): 2-1-0.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) | Barcelona Guayaquil (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.3 / 0.5 | 3.4 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 6.8 | 2.2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 4.6 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) 0–1–2 Barcelona Guayaquil (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Ecuador Primera Women | Barcelona Guayaquil (W) | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) |
| 16/08/25 Ecuador Primera Women | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) | 1-1 | Barcelona Guayaquil (W) |
| 02/05/25 Ecuador Primera Women | Barcelona Guayaquil (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) |
Standings · Ecuador Primera Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LDU Quito (W) | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 68 | 5 | 40 |
| 2 | Independiente del Valle (W) | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 61 | 3 | 37 |
| 3 | Barcelona Guayaquil (W) | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 42 | 5 | 34 |
| 4 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Deportivo Ibarra (W) | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 29 | 23 |
| 6 | Carneras UPS (W) | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 17 |
| 7 | Macara (W) | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 13 |
| 8 | Emelec (W) | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 55 | 13 |
| 9 | CD Espuce (W) | 14 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 38 | 4 |
| 10 | Quito FC (W) | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 49 | 4 |
| 11 | EL Nacional (W) | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 3 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca Women | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) | Barcelona Guayaquil (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Independiente del Valle (W) | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Macara (W) | 6-0 W | 2-1 W |
| LDU Quito (W) | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Carneras UPS (W) | 4-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Emelec (W) | 4-0 W | 6-0 W |
| CD Espuce (W) | 1-0 W | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Independiente del Valle (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 28/06 | Macara (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/06 | EL Nacional (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
3-0 | 8-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | LDU Quito (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 13/06 | Carneras UPS (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Independiente del Valle (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/05 | Carneras UPS (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Deportivo Ibarra (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Emelec (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/04 | CD Espuce (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
Barcelona Guayaquil (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Quito FC (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/06 | Macara (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 30/05 | Carneras UPS (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/05 | CD Espuce (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | LDU Quito (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Emelec (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Independiente del Valle (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 01/04 | Quito FC (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/03 | Macara (W) Ecuador Primera Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) vs Barcelona Guayaquil (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Barcelona Guayaquil (W) win (45%). Probabilities: Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) 30%, draw 25%, Barcelona Guayaquil (W) 45%.
How many goals are expected in Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) vs Barcelona Guayaquil (W)?
The model expects 3.04 goals (Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) 1.35 · Barcelona Guayaquil (W) 1.69), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) vs Barcelona Guayaquil (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.