Football · Latvia Cup · 10/07, 19:00

Prediction: Leevon PPK vs Riga FC

Expected goals: 3.43 (Leevon PPK 0.72 · Riga FC 2.72). The model gives 7% home, 13% draw, 80% away. Under 3.75 goals (54%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 0-2.

Over its last 10 matches, Leevon PPK sits at 8-2-0 (W-D-L), while Riga FC arrives on a 8-1-1 run. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Leevon PPK and 1 for Riga FC.

80%2
7% 13% 80%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leevon PPK 1594 · Riga FC 1585
Leevon PPKDrawRiga FC
Our model7%15%79%
Market7%11%82%
Estimated total (ours) 3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.43Leevon PPK 0.72 · Riga FC 2.72
Over / Under 3.75Under 3.75 · 54%
BTTSYes · 51%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Leevon PPKRiga FC
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 12.3 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.71.6 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%80/20/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 6.72 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.4 / 0.63.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Leevon PPK 001 Riga FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/08/24
Latvia Cup
Leevon PPK0-4
HT 0-1
Riga FC

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leevon PPK

WWWDDWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/05 JFK Ventspils
Latvia 1. Liga
0-1 2-1 57 W
16/05 RFS II
Latvia 1. Liga
1-1 2-1 127 W
10/05 Riga FC II
Latvia 1. Liga
0-1 3-2 98 W
02/05 FK Tukums 2000/TSS II
Latvia 1. Liga
2-1 4-1 53 W
26/04 SK Super Nova II
Latvia 1. Liga
2-2 3-2 117 W
18/04 FK Smiltene/BJSS
Latvia 1. Liga
0-0 0-0 106 D
12/04 Marupes SC
Latvia 1. Liga
0-0 0-0 59 D
28/03 Rezeknes FA
Latvia 1. Liga
0-0 2-0 35 W
22/03 Skanstes SK
Latvia 1. Liga
1-1 2-1 25 W
08/11 JFK Ventspils
Latvia 1. Liga
1-0 3-2 53 W

Riga FC

WWWWWWDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/07 Ararat Armenia
UEFA Champions League Qualifying
0-0 0-2 63 L
03/07 FK Jelgava
Latvia Virsliga
1-0 3-0 111 W
29/06 FK Auda
Latvia Virsliga
2-0 2-0 54 W
25/06 BFC Daugavpils
Latvia Virsliga
0-0 0-0 02 D
21/06 FK Liepaja
Latvia Virsliga
3-0 4-0 50 W
17/06 RFS
Latvia Virsliga
2-0 2-1 49 W
13/06 Ogre United
Latvia Virsliga
2-0 4-1 73 W
29/05 SC Grobinas
Latvia Virsliga
1-0 2-0 92 W
24/05 SK Super Nova
Latvia Virsliga
3-0 3-0 14 W
20/05 Tukums 2000
Latvia Virsliga
2-1 3-1 95 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leevon PPK vs Riga FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Riga FC win (80%). Probabilities: Leevon PPK 7%, draw 13%, Riga FC 80%.

How many goals are expected in Leevon PPK vs Riga FC?

The model expects 3.43 goals (Leevon PPK 0.72 · Riga FC 2.72), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Leevon PPK vs Riga FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.