Prediction: Tukums 2000 vs SK Super Nova
| Tukums 2000 | Draw | SK Super Nova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 24% | 36% |
| Market | 38% | 28% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours SK Super Nova: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tukums 2000 | SK Super Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.6 | 1.1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.4 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4 | 2.3 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tukums 2000 1–2–3 SK Super Nova
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/26 Latvia Virsliga | Tukums 2000 | 1-2 HT 1-1 | SK Super Nova |
| 11/05/26 Latvia Virsliga | SK Super Nova | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Tukums 2000 |
| 22/03/26 Latvia Virsliga | Tukums 2000 | 1-2 HT 0-2 | SK Super Nova |
| 28/09/25 Latvia Virsliga | Tukums 2000 | 2-1 HT 0-1 | SK Super Nova |
| 06/07/25 Latvia Virsliga | SK Super Nova | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Tukums 2000 |
| 16/05/25 Latvia Virsliga | SK Super Nova | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Tukums 2000 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tukums 2000 | SK Super Nova |
|---|---|---|
| SC Grobinas | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Ogre United | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| FK Jelgava | 1-4 L | 1-5 L |
| FK Auda | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| BFC Daugavpils | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| FK Liepaja | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| RFS | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Riga FC | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 6 L | 1 W 1 D 6 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tukums 2000
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | SC Grobinas Latvia Virsliga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 01/07 | SK Super Nova Latvia Virsliga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 26/06 | Ogre United Latvia Virsliga |
2-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | FK Jelgava Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 17/06 | FK Auda Latvia Virsliga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 12/06 | BFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 30/05 | FK Liepaja Latvia Virsliga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 25/05 | RFS Latvia Virsliga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 20/05 | Riga FC Latvia Virsliga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | SC Grobinas Latvia Virsliga |
2-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | D |
SK Super Nova
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Ogre United Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 01/07 | Tukums 2000 Latvia Virsliga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 25/06 | FK Jelgava Latvia Virsliga |
1-3 | 1-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | FK Auda Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 16/06 | BFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 12/06 | FK Liepaja Latvia Virsliga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 29/05 | RFS Latvia Virsliga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 24/05 | Riga FC Latvia Virsliga |
0-3 | 0-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 20/05 | SC Grobinas Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Ogre United Latvia Virsliga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tukums 2000 vs SK Super Nova?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tukums 2000 win (39%). Probabilities: Tukums 2000 39%, draw 26%, SK Super Nova 35%.
How many goals are expected in Tukums 2000 vs SK Super Nova?
The model expects 3.53 goals (Tukums 2000 1.81 · SK Super Nova 1.72), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Tukums 2000 vs SK Super Nova?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.